Monday Plays: We Need Some New Producers

[GzaTheGenius]

Depends if current form Sanchez shows up or the guy who has pitched some really strong gms vs yanks.

I'll probably stay away.. Jays always seem to play NYY tough

I took the Indians, with all the juice

[2daBank]

I'll probably stay away.. Jays always seem to play NYY tough

I took the Indians, with all the juice

I used them in the double elimination contest so they my favorite fav of the day but doubt I bet them, don’t really like enough to parlay w tribe and I don’t play that much mlb juice straight, lol.

[KVB]

Yanks jays over seems too easy here

Seems like it. From the Contrarian look it's the UNDER and I see some trades indicating that direction but, man, tickets and public really slamming that OVER, and we haven't seen much in movement.

There was a tick up to 11, but prices still leading UNDER. I'm sure the books will blink again, but which way? Would be some sharp ass RLM if it ticks back down.

I think I mentioned Juiced UNDERS yesterday...

Overall OVERS seem to be hitting this year. According to my records, across all MLB games I have OVERS hitting at about 51.5% to the UNDER 48.5%. This can vary with the closer used, as some games can be pushes.

It's just half points either, prices are telling as well. If you bet the same unit on every OVER this year you would be up +11 units while the bettor doing the same for the UNDER would be down about -60 units, depending on the line.

That's a lot of games and only represents about a 1% ROI for the over and more than -5% ROI on the UNDER. It's a grind but the juiced UNDERS aren't paying.

Unless you only bought closing line UNDERS at exactly 8.5, then, for some reason, you have more than 200 plays, some +7% or so ROI and you are up about +14.5 units.

Strange anomaly for the UNDER player....

[Cuse0323]

Line moving only reason I’m considering rox, I had no interest where it opened but like their chances little more than current price suggest.

Grey can absolutely hold shitbag sf lineup down. I’m more worried about rox scoring, Pomeranz is a pain for me to figure out, he still has ability, just a matter of when it shows up. San Fran def has edge in pens way rox been blowing games lately. That said much easier to hold down sf than lad obviously.

I figure they can get to the 7th with a 3 run lead. What happens from there, who knows, but I’ll take my chances

[2daBank]

I figure they can get to the 7th with a 3 run lead. What happens from there, who knows, but I’ll take my chances

Their pen isn’t that bad, pretty much middle of the pack but gotta take into account numbers inflated cause of coors. I’d like my chances for them to redeem themselves if they have lead, much easier lineup to pitch against.

[KVB]

SF +104 is still a contrarian candidate with the market info I have.

The issue here is that the original forecast for the game has Col winning by 4 runs, a number that is already a bit inflated. The circumstances are making it difficult to adjust that blowout down with market info.

Need more volume, some post stock market action, and hopefully there is some COL buyback. This is also a late game.

Books know there can some value with those giants it's possible they opened as higher dogs with the intent to draw that Giant's money.

[2daBank]

SF +104 is still a contrarian candidate with the market info I have.

The issue here is that the original forecast for the game has Col winning by 4 runs. The circumstances are making it difficult to adjust that blowout down with market info.

Need more volume, some post stock market action, and hopefully there is some COL buyback.

Books know there can some value with those giants it's possible they opened as higher dogs with the intent to draw that Giant's money.

See it a lot when digs drop a great deal like that.. i saw it get down to -107 when I started getting interested in rox but it has sense bounced back a little which makes sense. -115 seems pretty fair to me. I’d have loved for steam chasers to flipped the line but no such luck.

[2daBank]

They gonna make me play jays, +240? There enough in this game I’m unsure of to make me think jays gotta have better chance than that!! Lol

[KVB]

Zona, SF, TOR, and now KC and even the Mets starting to pop up on the radar.

Feel like I'm being led to slaughter...lol.

Heading out, will be on mobile. I know what I'm looking for and will pick it up if it triggers. Patience and discipline here, no matter how pretty, it's about the market's movements now.

[2daBank]

What you mean “even the Mets”? That the 1st one I played!!! lol. I think that game is pretty coin flippy, I like + coin flips.

[KVB]

What you mean “even the Mets”? That the 1st one I played!!! lol. I think that game is pretty coin flippy, I like + coin flips.

I really just mean it wasn't anywhere near the Fund radar and now it's creeping into the picture. My original forecast has Mets winning that game by 3 runs. Not sure why they weren't on the radar sooner, I may have been missing some information earlier that has updated.

I like the essential line freeze here, it's not a bad look at all.

[pilebuck13]

Like the cubs and possibly a under in San Fran which I’m sure kvb is picking up

[2daBank]

Like the cubs and possibly a under in San Fran which I’m sure kvb is picking up

I hate totals on new series days cause such a pulling teeth aggravating experiance trying to get the umps.

If i love a total I’ll bet it without ump and hope for best but I hate it. I mean wtf my big notebook on umps that took me years to do good for if I can’t use it?!!?! Lol

One day they will fire these losers and it will be a happy yet sad experience when a 17 year old w a iPad gives us a universal easy to interpret strike zone!! Lol

[pilebuck13]

I hate totals on new series days cause such a pulling teeth aggravating experiance trying to get the umps.

If i love a total I’ll bet it without ump and hope for best but I hate it. I mean wtf my big notebook on umps that took me years to do good for if I can’t use it?!!?! Lol

One day they will fire these losers and it will be a happy yet sad experience when a 17 year old w a iPad gives us a universal easy to interpret strike zone!! Lol

Yah I hear yah speaking of totals wrigley posting highest total of the year...I know wind supposed to be blowing out at 16mph into right center but still 11.5 think they may have touched 11 once this year..got me thinking on it and liking a shootout

[2daBank]

Can’t belueve that Canadian ho missed a pk to get me my draw!!

[2daBank]

Yah I hear yah speaking of totals wrigley posting highest total of the year...I know wind supposed to be blowing out at 16mph into right center but still 11.5 think they may have touched 11 once this year..got me thinking on it and liking a shootout

Teheran had a hell of a time when they 1st moved into that new launching pad in atl. He has since improved but his ground ball rate still isn’t very good. His hr rate is as low as It been since ‘14, could be a good game for him to give up some jacks, combine those w his high walk rate and definitely could see some big numbers. Certainly don’t see him going deep into game in those conditions and Braves pen has looked little shaky to me.

No way do I see Lester shutting Braves down w his current form, in those conditions, or on 4 days rest where he hasn’t been nearly as good as 5 this year.,

Over only way I’d consider playing it. Gl buddy

[cwnotorious]

Can’t belueve that Canadian ho missed a pk to get me my draw!!

God damn brutes I figured it for a 0-0 game, Canada defense has been solid

[KVB]

Like the cubs and possibly a under in San Fran which I’m sure kvb is picking up

That UNDER in SF definitely on the radar but I'm starting with just SF...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

908

24-Jun

SF +105

...

[stackz125]

Mets and dodgers
Eazzyyyyy cash

[KVB]

Added the Mets and Zona may trigger. Toronto just missed the cut tonight...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

901

24-Jun

NYM +119

Arizona on the radar for sure.

They say variety is the spice of life, even with GIFs...

[KVB]

Don’t love Mets imploding yesterday after the game but they still took 2 of 3 @ wrigley while phillies sliding big time. Hard to pass up plus money against philly right now.

Muts +117 for me.

Let's cash brotha!!!!

[shocka1212]

everyone on the mets..... not touching it.. small play on the dodgers

[2daBank]

everyone on the mets..... not touching it.. small play on the dodgers

Everyone? Really., I saw little over 50% Philly tickets on sbr odds page earlier.

I don’t have any beef w lad, good price to back them especially considering how bad zona has stunk at home and doyers bats w pretty strong numbers vs grienke., gl pal.

[2daBank]

My whole card as of now.

Muts +117
Tribe ff -.5 -130
Jays +240
Cws/bos under 9
Atl/cubs over 12


Starting a open parlay w tribe ml. Wasn’t another fav I liked enough but thought better to do this than just pass!

Think that is all, gl everyone

[2daBank]

Mets and dodgers
Eazzyyyyy cash

Settle down w the “easy” cash pal! Makes me nervous!l lol.

Not to mention while I like the muts them and “easy money” never should be used in same sentence, unless maybe “fading the muts is easy cash”! Lol. Let’s hope That isn’t the case tonight!!

[KVB]

Picked up that Zona...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

906 ARI +118

On mobile...

[KVB]

LOL Mets up 2-0 top of first, already tied...

[pilebuck13]

Fuk it went for the over in Chicago only play knowing my luck lately we will see shut out baseball for 7 plus innings

[2daBank]

God damn brutes I figured it for a 0-0 game, Canada defense has been solid

Looked that way for what, bout 60 minutes? Even worse we had a golden opportunity for them to tie it at 1. Only regret was not playing the under along w the draw. Thought bout it, looking back really no damn reason not to have, figured 2 goals would be the max. Oh well, on to a sport I at least have a decent idea wtf I’m doing!! Lol

[2daBank]

LOL Mets up 2-0 top of first, already tied...

Don’t do that pal! New week, this week we gonna hold our leads!!

[2daBank]

Fuk it went for the over in Chicago only play knowing my luck lately we will see shut out baseball for 7 plus innings

You better be on the over! I wouldn’t have even gave it a look if you didn’t bring it up!! Lol.

My only concern is bet it blind without waiting on ump, long as we don’t get stuck w a super big k-zone guy I think we be ok., doesn’t mean it go over, these high totals can be tough, had over in Texas yesterday and despite good amount of scoring came up 1 run short.., I think we be ok here, I like both teams to hang 5 at least.

[GzaTheGenius]

Added Braves F5

[2daBank]

Jays took early lead on yanks too.

Just saw muts already gave the 2-0 lead back. Fukk, lol.

[GzaTheGenius]

Damn indians runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and they get no runs fron it

[2daBank]

Damn indians runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and they get no runs fron it

Bodes great for the tribe ff I decided to roll with. Lol