Happy Easter: NBA in-game thread

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 10:51 AM

**jjgold** · 04-21-19, 10:52 AM

all over Boston

**Sam Odom** · 04-21-19, 10:55 AM

**KVB** · 04-21-19, 11:33 AM

Clipper +9.5 a possibility here.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 11:38 AM

KVB, what's your model's total for warriors/clippers?

**KVB** · 04-21-19, 11:40 AM

I actually have GS winning by 21 points.

But this is the playoffs and while the contrarian adjustments are knocking it down, it's still higher than the line.

Yet the line doesn't move much, we've been seeing 14 point lines this playoffs, it could easily go there but it doesn't.

Am looking closely but lean the +9.5 or even +10 if we can get it.

Wouldn't be the first time Warriors fuk me though, it's as if that's the only reason they exist.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 11:57 AM

What does your model like for the total on that game?

**timdog12** · 04-21-19, 12:14 PM

Good bet high I have 5k on Celtics minus 3

**KVB** · 04-21-19, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt

What does your model like for the total on that game?

Just about right at the number, and no meaningful market adjustments, a slight bit towards UNDER 235.5.

But oh so slight.

The biggest pass my office has seen in a while.

**shadymcgrady** · 04-21-19, 12:38 PM

This game is going to be a dogfight, Celts role players coming up flat on their shots. Legs fatigued. If celts pull away and cover Hayward and brown gonna have to do the heavy lifting with the freshest legs today

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 02:37 PM

Couldn't imagine having celtics -4 there

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 02:39 PM

passing on GSW Clips game.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 03:25 PM

KVB has been dead-on in these playoffs from what I can see.

We need you to check in and give us the run down on the rest of the NBA card. Good stuff, bud!

**pablo222** · 04-21-19, 03:26 PM

Passed on this game also. Looking at Magic under.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 03:27 PM

GL, Pablo

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 08:18 PM

lean Blazers

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by pablo222

Passed on this game also. Looking at Magic under.

winner if you played it. Nice call.

**pablo222** · 04-21-19, 08:28 PM

Thanks. Magic terrible offensively

**KVB** · 04-21-19, 08:30 PM

Here's what I have. The forecast is basically a tie, with OKC city getting a slight moneyline edge and the Total is basically just like the line movement. The forecast says about 224 points but when I adjust for market factors it drops to 222.

I see what I identify as sharp moves on the UNDER and it seems that would be the play if I had to. The Totals is a pass.

Looking at the spread it seems like that close forecast is in line with the public view. Contrarian adjustments tell us OKC. Also, the information I am getting shows the money differing from the public and being on OKC is the play.

In my opinion, in spite of the money, the books appear to have moved the line and tried to induce steam on Portland.

The recipe for Portland is too much for my taste and the market seems to be forcing them here. They could get it, but history tells us that this doesn't work out well for Portland.

I countered the move and pulled the trigger on OKC -5 (-105) and I may seek a favorable live line on OKC.

Good Luck.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-21-19, 08:36 PM

Gl kvb

**KVB** · 04-21-19, 08:40 PM

Sorry so late with this game and missing the last game. Easter, you know

Good Luck Higher!

**The Kraken** · 04-21-19, 09:39 PM

Nice work in here, and good luck with the Thunder

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-22-19, 10:40 AM

Playing Rockets -3 tonight.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-22-19, 12:38 PM

dime time.

what do you all like today?

**KVB** · 04-22-19, 01:05 PM

Thinking Detroit +12.5 or even 13.

I have Mil winning by 16 points in a 218 -219 point game but market adjustment appear to be trending towards the dog.

Once again that Total becomes so close to call, even with the minimal adjustments.. The spread is "on" too, but I am looking at Detroit. That is happening more often than we'd like to see.

I need more info here.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 04-22-19, 05:05 PM

Gl, kvb