NBA sharps only: Blazers and Thunder Total Thoughts?

[High3rEl3m3nt]

How are you all viewing this game total, 1h total?

Thank you.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Goat
LB
KVB
Jibby
Pile
and a few others I want to know what they think

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Iwin
brock

[High3rEl3m3nt]

[High3rEl3m3nt]

twizzle
LT
LKID

[High3rEl3m3nt]

BOO

[KVB]

Not going to lie, this line feels sharp.

When I put it all together, I get a stacking forecast of about 225 points but with the market info trending is it does there will be an adjustment towards the UNDER, of a couple of points.

Another pretty sharp line in my opinion but understand that from contrarian standpoint the lack of any movement, the line freeze, with what I see as tickets and money on the OVER indicates that the books are happy to see money come in on the OVER, and the UNDER might be a good position to follow them with.

So maybe like the KC/NYY game yesterday, the books will raise the line and again blink.

But, just like the KC/NYY game yesterday, that's too easy.

I've seen what I consider sharp trades only on the UNDER here with no OVER counters on my end.

Perhaps, like KC/NYY yesterday, the correct analysis is to look for RLM and see that line drop.

The UNDER could be the play here.

Let's talk KC.

A very strong contrarian look here on KC, nice number on the odds. The UNDER isn't a bad contrarian look either.

Both teams seem a bit shitty and betting the same unit blindly on every game has you down -6 units for KC and about -4 units for NYY...not that it carries much weight, just a little factoid of the status of the teams so far. I'll post some data to put that into context.

In terms of the Total, it seem like there's pressure on the OVER but the market not really showing it.

If you want to beat the line, take the OVER now because eventually the market will probably blink.

That'a the easy market analysis, but as we dig a little deeper I think there could be RLM here and we could see a drop in the line.

KC and the UNDER are on the radar.

Watching closely.

The CRIS boys, including Bookmaker dropped to 8.5 from the 9 that was hanging everywhere....

Good Luck

[leetreaper]

Goat
LB
KVB
Jibby
Pile
and a few others I want to know what they think

Iwin
brock

twizzle
LT
LKID

You can't make this shit up

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Lee, forgot to add you to list.

Deemer
Pinny
firedawg

These guys matter. Don't hate.

If you don't want to know if Brock has a strong lean on a game, then you don't like money.

[leetreaper]

How are you all viewing this game total, 1h total?

Thank you.

After 2 Unders in a row, it's either OVER or nothing.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

I lean that way too

[leetreaper]

Lee, forgot to add you to list.

Deemer
Pinny
firedawg

These guys matter. Don't hate.

If you don't want to know if Brock has a strong lean on a game, then you don't like money.

Yeah thats my bad

[KVB]

You know, it's not exactly a line freeze, as I look closer.

We did see both conditions already.

The line rose to 222 or so and perhaps we've seen some RLM already with a fall back to 221 in some houses.

Could be indicative of the future of this issue today.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

KVB, I am slow. I need straight answers

[leetreaper]

I lean that way too

Yeah man!

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Under?

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Goat, call SJ55 for SBR and see what he says. Tell him an old friend says hello

[KVB]

I like the UNDER here but that line is so darn sharp it's hard to pull a meaningful trigger.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

thanks, bud.

If you were to play one of these, which do you like the best?
OKC TT Over 1h
Blazers TT over 1h
Over 1H
Game Over

[leetreaper]

thanks, bud.

If you were to play one of these, which do you like the best?
OKC TT Over 1h
Blazers TT over 1h
Over 1H
Game Over

Pretty straightforward here.

[KVB]

thanks, bud.

If you were to play one of these, which do you like the best?
OKC TT Over 1h
Blazers TT over 1h
Over 1H
Game Over

I think if I had to predict the flow, and you really want an OVER, that it would be UNDER early leaving us with an OVER for 2nd half total depending on the score and line which we don't know.

That OVER in the 2nd half would lead to a OVER for the GAME so I say OVER for the game if I had to choose.

For the Team total if anything maybe OKC overperforms with the lead early but let's Portland back in second half.

So OKC TT OVER 1st HALF sound plausible.

But I just don't like any first half OVER action there.

[KVB]

Pretty straightforward here.

Yeah, could see OKC fast start tonight.

It's good as long as the OKC fast start isn't just a Portland no start...lol.

[leetreaper]

Yeah, could see OKC fast start tonight.

It's good as long as the OKC fast start isn't just a Portland no start...lol.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Somehow I arrived with this bet

GL gents.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

get it, trailblazers.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

westbrook looks so damn uncomfortable with his shot.

[slayer14]

This is going way under

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Kvb on point

[slayer14]

OKC maybe trying to win in slow tempo game

[slayer14]

Will this game pick up the total now is 200

[High3rEl3m3nt]

such a bizarre 1h. Announcers are crediting both defenses, but that was just poor focus on both teams' part imho.

[KVB]

OKC out with the lead first, under pace, it's starting to sound like the way I wrote it up.

All that's left is for Portland to get back in it second half but looking so right at only halftime, you know how the rest usually goes.

It's up to Portland now to push it.

[Shev2]

What are the odds this hits?


Should I hedge it?

[KVB]

What are the odds this hits?


Should I hedge it?

Here comes Portland!

[High3rEl3m3nt]

ouch