Question for the hockey total bettors

[darkghost]

I'm new to betting hockey totals but I've noticed this situation comes up alot.

Which is a better value, taking a total o6 +115 or o5.5-130? And is there some sort of conversion chart out there?

[pags11]

so didn't they change the rules in hockey to make the games more higher scoring?...

[bigboydan]

so didn't they change the rules in hockey to make the games more higher scoring?...

perty much did, only they call it "making it more appealing to fans" but, as a gambler i don't care about what the fans like to see. i care more about winning and making money in this sport and, i'm sure most of you guys feel the same way IMO

[picantel]

I wonder if the players are adapting though. I notice over the last 3 days scoring has taken a hit. Most books are U/O 6 or 6.5

10/17:
O6:0
U6:4
Push:0

10/16:
O6:1
U6:3
Push:0

10/15:
O6:2
U6:6
Push:3

Total for 3 days:
O6:3/19
U6:13/19
Push:3/19

I noticed this trend yesterday and took the under6 games and won them all.

[bigboydan]

i would have thought the books would have adjusted these totals earlier than they did.

[picantel]

well 4 days ago it was a scoring bloodbath. it probably evens out in the end and 3 days is not much of a statistic but I will go with it until he shoots back up.

[bigboydan]

these shootout sure don't help matters at all and, they really take away the puckline betting options for me. because, the vig is to outragous IMO

[Max Levine]

My guess is books have been winning at first when we were expecting a lot of goals but they've been losing lately when we realized that players were not taking full advantage of all those new rules.

A few things to consider:
- it takes a while to develop strong power play units
- players need to get used to the no-red-line rule (how many defensemen skate over the blue line before making a pass)
- most teams emphasize on defense (back checks, positioning) to counter the new rules
- it's easier to play defense than offense

Despite all those low-scoring games, goals scoring avg have already increased to more than 7, mainly because of a few high-scoring games. And the avg will slowly increase through the year. But in the meantime, hitting the Under is more profitable.

O6 +115 has a better value imho than O5.5 -130. A 45-pt margin on half a point seems a little high. Plus, consider that the only pushes you would get are 4-2, 5-1 and 6-0, as 3-3 will result in 7 goals.

Max

[OldeTymePlaya]

o6 +115

[picantel]

the shootout is the intersting part. you are basically nearly guarenteed 1 goal per game no matter what so it is like O5. However, scoring has taken a dip. I am gonna ride it out this week on the under and see how it takes me.

[picantel]

high scoring games tonight so far after 2 games(in the 3rd). Unless the goalies shut em down totally in the 3rd my theory will be short lived.

[bigboydan]

the shootout is the intersting part.

that sure doesn't help matter with the puck lines either. because, that vig is holding me back on these puck lines.

i know i've mentioned it before in a post i made but, i just hate having the puck lines option basicly taken away from me. because, of the vig factor.

[jjgold]

Good rule is just do not lay high juice on lines

[bigboydan]

Good rule is just do not lay high juice on lines

i never do,thats why i hate the new rules JJ

[pags11]

how does one retain interest in watching this sport?...I can only bet on sports I actually like watching...

[bigboydan]

how does one retain interest in watching this sport?...I can only bet on sports I actually like watching...

pucks is for the true fan from what i gathered around the forums. because, not many people seem to care for this sport for some reason.

[jjgold]

Hockey is just flat out boring and only has a cult following

[bigboydan]

JJ, nothing beats playoff pucks !! absolutely nothing !!!