Here are my 1st round upsets with brief writeups

**pimike** · 03-15-09, 09:57 PM

AZ has no buisness being in the tourney

**SamsNCharge99** · 03-15-09, 09:58 PM

I agree w/ W. Kentucky...they pulled the upset last year as well..they can do it again

I got UCLA and making it to sweet 16

Utah St....I went back and forth, but decided to go w/ Marquette.

Good Luck OTW

**Shortstop** · 03-15-09, 10:00 PM

I agree with Arizona and Western Kentucky.

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:02 PM

basically just flip a coin, no one really knows

**Nicky Santoro** · 03-15-09, 10:12 PM

onner is a professional gambler. he knows his stuff.

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

onner is a professional gambler. he knows his stuff.

**VegasDave** · 03-15-09, 10:16 PM

Originally posted by pimike

AZ has no buisness being in the tourney

+1

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:17 PM

have Washington, Marquette, and Utah. With you on VCU and WKU though

**sickler** · 03-15-09, 10:18 PM

My plays locked in are Utah +1.5 and Florida St -2.5

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:18 PM

Powler just flip coins, its unpredictable and no one really knows

**LT Profits** · 03-15-09, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Obviously the tournament is unpredictable but here are a few leans I have in terms of upsets, not claiming to be right but the upsets have to come from somewhere.

Arizona (12) over Utah (5)

Not an upset ATS, just an upset on the seeding. Arizona has a couple of pro prospects while Utah lost to a D-II school in their first game. Plus with a 12 winning every year, taking a shot with the Wildcats.

Mississippi State (13) over Washington (4)

Mississippi State plays an interesting style with 4 guards and Jarvis Varnado and are very hot. Haven't really seen U-Dub play much but taking a shot here even though the game is very close to U-Dub. Have them in the Sweet 16 too over Purdue.

Utah State (11) over Marquette (6)

Fading Marquette here more than anything. Utah State is a solid mid major, however can't comment on them because I haven't seen them play. They are top 10 in the nation in 3 point shooting and guard play usually carries you in the tournament. Marquette hasn't been the same since losing Dominic James

VCU (11) over UCLA (6)

This game is in VCU's backyard, about 200 miles away in Philadelphia. UCLA is traveling across country and the neutral crowd there for Villanova will be rooting for the underdog hoping they play VCU in the 2nd round. VCU has been there before with Eric Maynor hitting a gamewinner against Duke 2 years ago.

Western Kentucky (12) over Illinois (5)

Western Kentucky is always a solid team, and they have the players to match up with Illinois IMO. Western Illinois carries the best win when comparing resumes and Illinois may be without Chester Frazier.

I agree with all except Mississippi State.

**Nicky Santoro** · 03-15-09, 10:19 PM

onner, you made a big mistake...............

.

**LT Profits** · 03-15-09, 10:20 PM

Originally posted by pimike

AZ has no buisness being in the tourney

Maybe not, but they will beat Utah.

**Chi_archie** · 03-15-09, 10:21 PM

Utah st over Marquette jumped out at me when i saw that matchup as a big potential upset...... I will be interested to if there is alot of line movement on that game...

I think alot of people will be fading marquette early in the betting, and everyone knows they have lost all but 1 game w/o James.... but they have looked a little better since their Pitt loss

It took a hot syracuse team, OT to beat them, they trounced St. Johns and only lost to nova by 1.....despite getting killed in the first half.... I think there might be some late heavy action on marquette

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:21 PM

Utah is no slouch and I think they have been undervalued ATS. Arizona couldnt beat a high school team on the road. I cant believe I'm the minority by picking Uath

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:23 PM

Also, Marquette isn't that much worse without James. They were never that great. They never played anybody until after James went down IMO. Marquette still has a lot of upperclassmen who will at least beat Utah State IMO. Also, remember how well Marquette's guards defend

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:24 PM

Road and Neutral are two different things. Arizona has a good fanbase, but I think the game is in Miami FL but not 100%. So not sure if they will travel or not, but I'd be surprised if Utah fans outnumbered Arizona fans.

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

.

**Shortstop** · 03-15-09, 10:27 PM

Arizona over Utah.

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:28 PM

I dont think either has a good shot against WF though. I'm not sure what to make of Utah/Arizona now though

**onthewhat** · 03-15-09, 10:30 PM

Arizona has some quality wins but also many losses. This tells me they get up for big games and the NCAA Tournament is as big as it gets.

**LT Profits** · 03-15-09, 10:32 PM

Arizona faced tougher schedule too.

**Wrigley** · 03-15-09, 10:34 PM

western Kentucky will beat Illnois Im not sure the number will even be that big

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:36 PM

Utah lost at BYU and New Mexico so I guess they arent great away from home either. Arizona would be worth the points for being a 12 so I guess I may play them

**Chi_archie** · 03-15-09, 10:36 PM

Mcneal and Matthews are so streaky that I could see marquette getting killed by utah or Mcneal could hit 8-12 from 3 point land, Matthew could slice through utah state for 25 and Haywood could be a tough matchup....for missou..... who I also think could be an upset actually.... Missou seems a bit inconsistent to me

**Wrigley** · 03-15-09, 10:37 PM

Texas-4 vs Minnesota is a easy winner in first round

**TPowell** · 03-15-09, 10:38 PM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

Mcneal and Matthews are so streaky that I could see marquette getting killed by utah or Mcneal could hit 8-12 from 3 point land, Matthew could slice through utah state for 25 and Haywood could be a tough matchup....for missou..... who I also think could be an upset actually.... Missou seems a bit inconsistent to me

I think Missouri can get by Marquette and I like them against Memphis. NO WAY Tyreke Evans can handle the rock with the pressure that Missouri will bring

**flyingillini** · 03-15-09, 10:50 PM

Illini

**Crayzee** · 03-15-09, 11:17 PM

picking vcu over ucla because its closer to their home is retarded

ucla is 10 points better in power ranking

good luck with that