Very Very Big Card Tonight

**THEGREAT30** · 03-11-09, 05:16 PM

Damn, homie, one of us is gonna have a phucked up night.

**Fiasco** · 03-11-09, 05:25 PM

haha if I have a bad night tonight, then all around the world people will be having winning nights...

public perception is a heavy focus on how I capped tonights games...

IDK if it will work or not but I know I probably wouldnt have played some of these games...

**007Fatty** · 03-11-09, 05:48 PM

Why did you pick denver tonite than?

**Fiasco** · 03-11-09, 05:53 PM

because around 64% are on OKC

and durants out again, 2nd leg of a back to back, denver needs to get a big win to restore confidence

and I like throwing money away on teams with no heart

**007Fatty** · 03-11-09, 05:59 PM

haha nicee.
goodluck im on okc.
but you will prolly win lol

**Fiasco** · 03-11-09, 06:00 PM

everyone on the boards on okc... (haven't seen a denver supporter yet)

but no one with sanity would back denver though so I understand completely...

**Fiasco** · 03-11-09, 10:19 PM

Adding Washington State -5 1h and Over 121.5 for the game

**Fiasco** · 03-11-09, 11:27 PM

portland screwed my night up

adding wash st -3 2h and over 65

unbelievable

**Fiasco** · 03-12-09, 12:27 AM

9-8

down on the day because of the parlay...

gonna stick with this new "system" and try and find some filters...

**so im zach** · 03-12-09, 12:43 AM

Nice. You're looking at line movement vs public betting percentage now.

Way to go, Fiasco.

You're basically playing the role of bookie now.

**Fiasco** · 03-12-09, 12:50 AM

yeah, should have been huge night but I had that portland ml

that will haunt me fore weeks...

public was on dallas decently and I figured there was very little chance that portland drops 2 to dallas this year (I know dallas has owned them in the past) in portland...

little did I know, roy was/is coming down with the flu...

stanford was going to go in the place of portland but it was a last minute substituion that I can't get out of my head...

I'm gonna start a thread tomorrow to keep track of this system, and use my spreadsheet to record it...

bookie still has the advantage of juice, but we'll see how this works out through the end of college basketball at least

**so im zach** · 03-12-09, 12:58 AM

It's definitely a big factor into my decisions, though recently I've been straying away from dogs +points at -110 and going with the ML instead. I'm normally a dog bettor and stay away from chalk unless I feel a solid edge.