[No coincidences]

If someone was to create a thread full of stupid shit Brahmabull has said on SBR it would be the best thread ever started.

I honestly think he's just plain lonely.

No one can be this "amnesic" about this stuff.

[hawley]

I honestly think he's just plain lonely.

No one can be this "amnesic" about this stuff.

He posts on loveshack.org - "Welcome to LoveShack.org; an interpersonal relationship advice and assistance center providing a forum to confront personal conflicts, promote participation in self-discovery and responsibility, and to share dating tips, love advice, and platonic relationship resources."

I think it says all you need to know about him.

[brahmabull117]

Do you realize what % of bets you have to hit long-term -- not just in a week or a month's worth of sample size -- to come out ahead laying on average -150 to -200?

Hitting 75% while playing -200 lines is no harder or easier than hitting 60% while playing - 110



and I know you're gonna claim that hitting 75% long term is impossible but I don't think it is - it's all about proper timing. A red hot brewers team playing a struggling pirates team definately has a 75+ plus percent chance to win that game


On the other side, a struggling Boston or Struggling New York facing a streaking Baltimore team might have barely a 50% chance to win the game



and I know you're gonna claim that Vegas doesn't give out lines that soft...but how many times was Boston - 250 favorites down the stretch in September even as they kept losing game after game after game after game??

[Tech N9ne]

[No coincidences]

Hitting 75% while playing -200 lines is no harder or easier than hitting 60% while playing - 110



and I know you're gonna claim that hitting 75% long term is impossible but I don't think it is - it's all about proper timing. A red hot brewers team playing a struggling pirates team definately has a 75+ plus percent chance to win that game


On the other side, a struggling Boston or Struggling New York facing a streaking Baltimore team might have barely a 50% chance to win the game



and I know you're gonna claim that Vegas doesn't give out lines that soft...but how many times was Boston - 250 favorites down the stretch in September even as they kept losing game after game after game after game??

I give up.

[hawley]

fuk off Brah

No way in your life would you have bet against Boston on a big dog during September.

[brahmabull117]

fuk off Brah No way in your life would you have bet against Boston on a big dog during September.

I didn't play Boston or Philly too much the last 5 or 6 weeks of the season


both teams were very inconsistent or even downright awful against bad teams. The teams that really cleaned up late in the year was Milwaukee, Arizona, Detroit, etc...

[brahmabull117]

I give up.

what did I say there that was unreasonable??


why do you think it's impossible to hit 75% on -200 plays?? Or that it's any harder than hitting 60% or regular plays??

[hawley]

I didn't play Boston or Philly too much the last 5 or 6 weeks of the season


both teams were very inconsistent or even downright awful against bad teams. The teams that really cleaned up late in the year was Milwaukee, Arizona, Detroit, etc...

I didnt say you played them....just you would never bet against them.

Fading a big chalky big named team goes against everything your betting approach is built on.

Remember Halladay does not lose at home...

[brahmabull117]

I didnt say you played them....just you would never bet against them. Fading a big chalky big named team goes against everything your betting approach is built on. Remember Halladay does not lose at home...

the phillies went 24-8 in Roy halladay's starts last year - that's your 75% winning percentage right there

[hawley]

and what price did you lay?

[brahmabull117]

and what price did you lay?

I'd imagine the average Halladay start was about - 180- 200 last year

[MartinBlank]

I honestly think he's just plain lonely.

No one can be this "amnesic" about this stuff.

This. He is. That is the only explanation I can think of too. He is too young to be this needy without having some issues.

I think he is just a sad lonely kid who needs SBR much morre than SBR needs him.

[hawley]

I'd imagine the average Halladay start was about - 180- 200 last year

at home I would imagine closer to -225 to -250?

[BettingWizard]

brah, we play RLM for fun

you figured us out

[Romanov]

Brahma, I do have data on your inquiry. Do your own research you lazy fukk if you want the answer. Watch my ncaab plays if you want to find out how successful it is

[brahmabull117]

at home I would imagine closer to -225 to -250?

yea but the phillies won 80 percent (12 out of 15) of Halladay's starts at home, which is still a massively profitable number despite that avg of - 240 (Hell it would be a profitable number at - 300)



and that's 80% despite that last regular season loss against STL when the Phillies had everything clinched and were playing like dogsht - you would have to be absolutely nuts to lay - 230 on the Phillies in that situation



outside of that late loss, the number is really closer to 86%

[Romanov]

yea but the phillies won 80 percent (12 out of 15) of Halladay's starts at home, which is still a massively profitable number despite that avg of - 240 (Hell it would be a profitable number at - 300)



and that's 80% despite that last regular season loss against STL when the Phillies had everything clinched and were playing like dogsht - you would have to be absolutely nuts to lay - 230 on the Phillies in that situation



outside of that late loss, the number is really closer to 86%

weak mind please realize that the past is not a definitive indication of the future and variability exists

[brahmabull117]

weak mind please realize that the past is not a definitive indication of the future and variability exists

goes without saying



not every great pitcher is very profitable - Josh beckett for example was a very mediocre pitcher for gambling purposes because his team gave him so little run support (and so his record was so so considering the massive juice)



A good gambler recognizes a cash cow and milks it until it shows signs of slowing down - Halladay and Verlander for example were both incredibly profitable last year. There are good big favorites and bad big favorites (just like with underdogs)

[hawley]

Brah can you tell me the EV on Halladay pitching at home last season based on the lines and the results?

[Tech N9ne]

Brah needs a man in his life

Someone to give him anal

[brahmabull117]

Brah can you tell me the EV on Halladay pitching at home last season based on the lines and the results?

no - why would I do that much work for no reason??


All I know is that April through August, he was among top 5 most profitable pitchers in the league

[Sunde91]

brah just plagiarizing what I wrote word for word

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...-sharp-p2.html

"psuedo sharps" (pseudo misspelled)

(pseudo) sharps buried

"I'm curious if there are any studies over a 300+ play sample where Anti Public/RLM bets won over 52+ percent ATS"

Show me confirmed "sharp" (anti-public/RLM) plays that win even 52.38% of the time over a sample of 300+ plays

[MartinBlank]

So Brahm is plagarizing Sunde now?

Jesus.