Playtime is over - go big on Caps puckline tonight or go home

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  • stevek173
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-29-08
    • 27598

    #1
    Playtime is over - go big on Caps puckline tonight or go home
    They return home tonight boys after getting smoked on their western swing. You didn't see me touching those games did you.

    The rules are: Home ice, Rested, and in some part depending on the opponent.

    Value is not the greatest but I would hit it early as I would predict a lot of people would be on them tonight and the price will probably get worse.

    +155 5Dimes Reduced Juice find your price. 2 Units here.

    I predict a 5-2 final.

    Salud.
  • VegasInsider
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-12-10
    • 14593

    #2
    I like your style, boss.

    On it.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Steven back

      Playing it
      Comment
      • Sawyer
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-01-09
        • 7715

        #4
        Nice value on Ducks +175 here. I'm going with visitors.
        Comment
        • k13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-16-10
          • 18102

          #5
          I don't see Wash scoring 5 here....I'll wait a bit on this.
          Comment
          • odog11
            SBR MVP
            • 02-14-11
            • 3874

            #6
            Ducks in regulation +250 is my play, but won't be shocked if they lose big either.
            Comment
            • Bulls55
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-05-10
              • 199

              #7
              Anaheim on there 5th road game in a row. Wash coming off 2 bad beats!!! I like Wash, not to sure about the Over!
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Does the "first game back home after a long road trip" rule apply in the NHL the way it does in the NBA or MLB?
                Comment
                • stevek173
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-29-08
                  • 27598

                  #9
                  That is a not a rule I subscribe to.
                  Comment
                  • deadstare
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-02-11
                    • 661

                    #10
                    all in on caps
                    Comment
                    • ThaWoj
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-09-10
                      • 6757

                      #11
                      lotta action on the ducks, 5dimes ML opened at caps -200 down to -175. puck line opened at +150 now up to +168...
                      Comment
                      • stevek173
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-29-08
                        • 27598

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ThaWoj
                        lotta action on the ducks, 5dimes ML opened at caps -200 down to -175. puck line opened at +150 now up to +168...
                        I thought it'd go the other way and got it in at +155 in the reduced section.

                        I always place mine early, just a thing with me.

                        Ty for the fyi though.
                        Comment
                        • BIGDAY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 02-17-10
                          • 48245

                          #13
                          Let's make it a BIGDAY Stevey!
                          Comment
                          • leetreaper
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-23-10
                            • 34841

                            #14
                            This is literally the worst bet tonight ever...
                            Comment
                            • stevek173
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-29-08
                              • 27598

                              #15
                              Come at me with a spreadsheet or don't come at all.
                              Comment
                              • PStrangers
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-28-11
                                • 239

                                #16
                                I certainly wouldn't take the puck line in this game. Regulation if you don't want to play the ML. I have been considering placing a bet on the Ducks though.

                                The capitals are 3-7 (-12.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Furthermore, the capitals are 109-153 (-56.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996. Although the ducks are 2-4 in its last 6 games when playing Washington at home they are 5-2 over the last 7 games.

                                My simulator, although it states a larger than 50% probability (52%) that the capitals win this game SU, places the value on the Ducks.

                                I'd be happy to hear a reason why I should place a bet, but I'd prefer the reason be more than, 'their due' or 'they are at home'. If simple things like this worked, the bookies would be broke.

                                Regardless, best of luck all.
                                Comment
                                • k13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-16-10
                                  • 18102

                                  #17
                                  Up to +176 now...
                                  Comment
                                  • anthonyc023
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-25-09
                                    • 2733

                                    #18
                                    Over 23 career appearances against the Ducks, Vokoun holds a 8-13-1-1 record with a 2.74 GAA, .911 SV% and one shutout.
                                    Comment
                                    • ebelisle22
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 4726

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                                      This is literally the worst bet tonight ever...

                                      this guy is an idiot, no offence.
                                      Comment
                                      • Merella
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-08-09
                                        • 316

                                        #20
                                        Seems like every time I take a Caps PL they don't cover. Just going with ML here parlayed with Wings ML Hate taking heavy faves but I think they both stop their losing streaks
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasInsider
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-12-10
                                          • 14593

                                          #21
                                          Fukkin line dropping like panties on prom night..

                                          Comment
                                          • stevek173
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-29-08
                                            • 27598

                                            #22
                                            I like that Vokoun got pulled in Vancouver and will come out with a chip on his shoulder against a MUCH less talented team.

                                            Boys we should be good here.

                                            Chillax and thank me later.
                                            Comment
                                            • SlickRick1382
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-15-11
                                              • 3838

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stevek173
                                              I like that Vokoun got pulled in Vancouver and will come out with a chip on his shoulder against a MUCH less talented team.

                                              Boys we should be good here.

                                              Chillax and thank me later.

                                              You putting a play on the Caps ML, PL or Reg? Or a combination?
                                              Comment
                                              • stevek173
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-29-08
                                                • 27598

                                                #24
                                                PL 2 units, I got it at early at +155 (5dimes reduced) it's +170 there now, nice price.
                                                Comment
                                                • clc49
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-15-10
                                                  • 314

                                                  #25
                                                  good luck tonight --- hope the caps make you some money
                                                  Comment
                                                  • k13
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-16-10
                                                    • 18102

                                                    #26
                                                    2-0 Ducks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SlickRick1382
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-15-11
                                                      • 3838

                                                      #27
                                                      Not looking good.

                                                      I took Caps PL but also did a smaller Regulation bet on Anaheim to hedge it a little and minimize losses (was +220)

                                                      Still I never imagine the Caps losing 2-0 off the bat in the 1st period. Not looking good for them. If they can't cover they're better off losing and I'll try and get them on Friday or Saturday vs Carolina or NYI respectively ...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ProfaneReality
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 7607

                                                        #28
                                                        right on schedule. Steve said 2 goals for Anaheim.

                                                        Now here comes 5 straight by Washington.

                                                        Steve is SBR's top capper for a reason.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ebelisle22
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-27-11
                                                          • 4726

                                                          #29
                                                          wow what a terrible start 6 shots 2 goals,
                                                          Comment
                                                          • blackbeSSt
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-06-08
                                                            • 9398

                                                            #30
                                                            stick to making threads about having a guy *** on your face stevie
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lunchbawks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-31-10
                                                              • 12873

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by odog11
                                                              Ducks in regulation +250 is my play, but won't be shocked if they lose big either.
                                                              sharp
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SlickRick1382
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-15-11
                                                                • 3838

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by blackbeSSt
                                                                stick to making threads about having a guy *** on your face stevie
                                                                Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                                                                right on schedule. Steve said 2 goals for Anaheim.

                                                                Now here comes 5 straight by Washington.

                                                                Steve is SBR's top capper for a reason.

                                                                Show me the guy who gets all his picks right and I'll show a million dollars for you to keep....

                                                                Doesn't make him any less of a capper. I don't see you out here giving picks.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ProfaneReality
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-14-09
                                                                  • 7607

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Why are you targeting me ? I'm rooting for him, genius.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • blackbeSSt
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-06-08
                                                                    • 9398

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                                                    Show me the guy who gets all his picks right and I'll show a million dollars for you to keep.... Doesn't make him any less of a capper. I don't see you out here giving picks.
                                                                    "go big...or go home"
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tech N9ne
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-24-11
                                                                      • 5366

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Looks like Anaheim is a dancing lock
                                                                      Comment
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