So far, the most lopsided value i see is in third down and short yardage recieving back Mewelde Moore at a whopping 40-1 to score the SuperBowls first TD, not bad. Yeah, parker is 4-1 and has the first two opportunities inside the ten, but this is just a good bet if you ask me...anyone else see anything worth throwing something on?
Superbowl Props That Have Caught Your Eye
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SportsLockPicksSBR MVP
- 12-03-07
- 3386
#1Superbowl Props That Have Caught Your Eye
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pimikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-23-08
- 37139
#2My prop of the game is OVERTIME YES, I think were due here. I put 500to win 5,000 on it.Comment -
SportsLockPicksSBR MVP
- 12-03-07
- 3386
#3not these teams...10-1? thats what it pays..not worth it...philly/pitt i could see tying, but not here..good luck thoughComment -
rm18SBR Posting Legend
- 09-20-05
- 22291
#4So far, the most lopsided value i see is in third down and short yardage recieving back Mewelde Moore at a whopping 40-1 to score the SuperBowls first TD, not bad. Yeah, parker is 4-1 and has the first two opportunities inside the ten, but this is just a good bet if you ask me...anyone else see anything worth throwing something on?
Moore also is questionable for the game as well looks like a trap.Comment -
SportsLockPicksSBR MVP
- 12-03-07
- 3386
#5i considered that, if he hadn't moore would be about 18-1Comment -
seaborneqSBR Posting Legend
- 09-08-06
- 22556
#6no score in any quarter +220 looks good to me. I hit that one in the Eagles-Pats SB also.Comment -
slacker00SBR Posting Legend
- 10-06-05
- 12262
#7
I need better odds than 10 to 1. Maybe 20 to 1 and I'll take it.
I like it.Comment -
SportsLockPicksSBR MVP
- 12-03-07
- 3386
#8no score in any q should pay more than that..don't like itComment -
gizmo2431SBR Wise Guy
- 01-11-08
- 971
#9WHICH TEAM WILL RECORD THE FIRST QB SACK IN GAME?
Steelers EVENComment -
t-boneSBR MVP
- 03-18-08
- 3732
#10Edgerin James UNDER 42.5 rushing yards -105........EASYComment -
SmogsSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4173
#11Do we think that arizona will rush over 77 yards @ -110? I dont think they will as i feel the run will be ineffective when they are close in scores, but as soon as pitts start scoring i see warner having to throw.Comment -
PortlanderSBR Sharp
- 09-22-08
- 292
#14
Well if the "true" odds should be giving you +500 would +220 still be a good bet? I think if you look at the % of games in the season that went into overtime.. if you could get an average, you could get an idea of what it should pay, compare the likelyhood of the teams in question and then judge if you have a good deal... (and I dont know.. maybe +220 is good)
If you are just having fun playing props.. then take whatever sounds good..Comment -
PortlanderSBR Sharp
- 09-22-08
- 292
#15
If you are getting it for even odds though it is hard to see how you could go too wrong.. I might take some of that action myself.. These things are fun to root for..Last edited by Portlander; 01-25-09, 09:36 PM.Comment -
seaborneqSBR Posting Legend
- 09-08-06
- 22556
#17Well if the "true" odds should be giving you +500 would +220 still be a good bet? I think if you look at the % of games in the season that went into overtime.. if you could get an average, you could get an idea of what it should pay, compare the likelyhood of the teams in question and then judge if you have a good deal... (and I dont know.. maybe +220 is good)
If you are just having fun playing props.. then take whatever sounds good..
What does overtime have to do with this?Comment -
andywendSBR MVP
- 05-20-07
- 4805
#18There is one prop offered that far outshines the rest.
By far and away the best prop I have seen across the entire internet:
Will there be a 300 yard passer on either team?
I took the YES @ +240 and again @ +220 for the max each time.
Warner over/under passing yards is around 256 while Big Ben's total is 233.
What am I missing here as it appears to me that this prop should be priced close to even money.Comment -
pimikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-23-08
- 37139
#19Neither will go over the orginal line, so that bet looks bad to me.Comment -
andywendSBR MVP
- 05-20-07
- 4805
#20Your opinion that neither quarterback will go over their posted total for passing yards isn't really relevant in determining whether or not the bet I mentioned has value.
Perhaps Justin or one of the other regulars can chime in on what a fair line would be for either QB to have 300 or more passing yards when their projected totals are 233 and 256 respectively?Comment -
moconnorSBR Rookie
- 01-14-09
- 8
#21Cards Sacks allowed Regular Season: 28
Steelers Sacks Allowed Regular Season: 49
Cards SA Playoffs : 3
Steelers SA Playoffs: 5
Now the line looks about right although I still like the Steelers here with the matchups involved. Pitt will not be concerned about stopping the run because the know that they can stop the Arizona run game. Their focus will be on disrupting the Cards passing game with pressure. The Cards will have to worry about both the run and the pass and will not focus on one over the other in preparation. The Steelers will come in on the attack against Warner.Comment -
pimikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-23-08
- 37139
#22Your opinion that neither quarterback will go over their posted total for passing yards isn't really relevant in determining whether or not the bet I mentioned has value.
Perhaps Justin or one of the other regulars can chime in on what a fair line would be for either QB to have 300 or more passing yards when their projected totals are 233 and 256 respectively?
What part of no one throwing more than 300 yard don't you understand?
Not trying to be rude, but you posted your play and asked what we thought, I told you what I thought, know you say my opnion isn't relevant. Maybe I am missing something, but not sure I am.
Good luckComment -
pimikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-23-08
- 37139
#23This one may have some value
WILL EDGERRIN JAMES SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE GAME?
YES - +350Comment -
andywendSBR MVP
- 05-20-07
- 4805
#26Mike, I wasn't asking your opinion on whether you like the over/under on the individual quarterback passing yard totals as that opinion has nothing to do with whether or not the wager I mentioned has value.
Once again, I'll ask the question:
What is fair value on either quarterback passing for 300 or more yards in the Super Bowl when their projected totals are 233 (Big Ben) and 256 (Warner)?
+240 seems way too high on thisComment -
pimikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-23-08
- 37139
#27I noticed ther was a wager on over 1 missed field goals by both teams is +450, that looks like something I may take a shot on.Comment -
reno coolSBR MVP
- 07-02-08
- 3567
#28Mike, I wasn't asking your opinion on whether you like the over/under on the individual quarterback passing yard totals as that opinion has nothing to do with whether or not the wager I mentioned has value.
Once again, I'll ask the question:
What is fair value on either quarterback passing for 300 or more yards in the Super Bowl when their projected totals are 233 (Big Ben) and 256 (Warner)?
+240 seems way too high on this
This is an interesting question. I think you'd better off looking at how often these teams passed and allowed for over 300 rather than the avg. Then you might need regress to the mean and god knows what else. The avg alone tells me nothing.Last edited by reno cool; 01-27-09, 06:26 AM.bird bird da bird's da wordComment -
Dark HorseSBR Posting Legend
- 12-14-05
- 13764
#29Last score of the game not a TD +160
I took that because it's going to be a game-deciding FG.Comment -
RufusSBR High Roller
- 03-28-08
- 107
#31If you were getting +450 on over 0.5 missed FGs, maybe, but you need 2 missed field goals to win your bet. The two kickers have missed 6 or 7 FGs combined all season. Lets assume that they've been a little on the lucky side and that they should have missed 8 or 9 FGs. This still implies a price of -920 or -715 on under 1 missed FG, depending on which you use. I have a large bet on the under here at -550.Comment -
SamsNCharge99SBR Aristocracy
- 10-22-08
- 41242
#32there are like over 200 props for the game, for players, teams, game, its CRAZYComment -
Chi_archieSBR Aristocracy
- 07-22-08
- 63167
#33Mike, I wasn't asking your opinion on whether you like the over/under on the individual quarterback passing yard totals as that opinion has nothing to do with whether or not the wager I mentioned has value.
Once again, I'll ask the question:
What is fair value on either quarterback passing for 300 or more yards in the Super Bowl when their projected totals are 233 (Big Ben) and 256 (Warner)?
+240 seems way too high on this
like 1 time maybe 2 times this year... Peyton Manning is the only one I know of.
heck the steelers have only allowed over 300 yards total offense once or twice this year...
Ben doesn't pass for over 300 usually unless they are coming from behind in a shoot outComment -
SmogsSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4173
#34One caught my eye - boldin's longest reception, under 21.5 yards @ -120. i dont think the steelers will allow any more yards than that. I havent looked at boldins stats tbh but it caught my eye, ill look into it furtherComment -
seaborneqSBR Posting Legend
- 09-08-06
- 22556
#35Fitz +700 to score the first TD of the game. Love it and did it.Comment
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