is there value to go large

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  • battle4life
    SBR MVP
    • 05-28-11
    • 1907

    #1
    is there value to go large
    say to win 5k+ on brewers to win division -125
  • Richkas
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-03-08
    • 19396

    #2
    Yes...do it now...after they sweep the Cards starting tonight that line may go up
    Comment
    • ngates815
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-01-09
      • 13845

      #3
      Do you know what the "K" means when you say 5k+?
      Comment
      • Harmy G
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-10-10
        • 210

        #4
        is there value to go large?
        First of all, there's either value, or there isn't. The amount you risk should be based on your bankroll and the edge you are getting. See kelly criterion.
        Comment
        • milwaukee mike
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-22-07
          • 26914

          #5
          i think the brewers have at least a 60% chance of winning the division which would equate to -150.
          so yes lay the -125 but only up to your comfort level.
          Comment
          • Tech N9ne
            Restricted User
            • 06-24-11
            • 5366

            #6
            If your name is fightingwarrior or battle4life, the answer is NO
            Comment
            • crustyme
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-29-10
              • 16896

              #7
              heres a prop bet you can go big on...

              does fighting warrior have $5k?

              yes +850000000
              no -1000000000
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #8
                also i don't think there's an online book that would take a division future wager for MORE than 5k (you wrote 5k+)
                Comment
                • clonecat
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-29-05
                  • 1225

                  #9
                  Baseball prospectus has their odds at 67.6% to win the division. -125 would have great value if you respect those #'s and I do respect Baseball prospectus.
                  Comment
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