El Niño's NHL Thread

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  • ItsMeMrMattE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-30-10
    • 5294

    #2661


    the line tomorrow is going to be interesting.
    Comment
    • fitguy67
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-13-11
      • 5082

      #2662
      Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE


      the line tomorrow is going to be interesting.
      yeah...zig-zag theory vs. home-cooking
      Comment
      • ItsMeMrMattE
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-30-10
        • 5294

        #2663
        Originally posted by fitguy67

        yeah...zig-zag theory vs. home-cooking
        you have a guess for what it will be around? im thinking something like BOS -150
        Comment
        • El Nino
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-03-12
          • 18426

          #2664
          Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
          you have a guess for what it will be around? im thinking something like BOS -150
          Boston -133 I'm hitting them again and that will act as my "hedge" on my series bet.
          Comment
          • El Nino
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-03-12
            • 18426

            #2665
            6/19

            Boston Bruins -133 3.99u 5Dimes
            Boston Bruins -1/2 1st 60 Min (+125) 1u 5Dimes

            YTD
            155-150-4 +34.21u

            Playoff Record
            52-65-2 +4.91u

            So, I am once again shocked by this opening line. I expected to see Bruins right around -145. The books are really going to need the Hawks to steal this one on the road. Rask is playing great at home and with the Hossa injury being very murky and Crawford's less than stellar play I cannot back the Blackhawks here. Injuries in the NHL playoffs are a more tightly kept secret than the Pats injury list. So what "upper body" injury did Hossa have that Coach Q knew could have kept Hossa out for Game 3, but allowed Hossa to skate in the warmup. An injury that Coach Q says that Hossa is "likely" to play in Game 4. I'm going with a head injury here. It is possible that Hossa suffered a concussion in Game 2, the training staff allowed him to try and give it a go in the warm up for Game 3 and he didn't feel right afterward. Hossa would have gutted out any sort of strain or contusion or other similar injury. His safety after suffering a head injury is the only thing that I can think of that would keep him from taking contact and ruling him out of the game. Either way, if he is nursing an injury other than a head injury that was bad enough to keep him out of Game 3, is he really going to be 80%? (nobody is 100% come playoff time) If Hossa is ruled out or he isn't seen on the ice for the pregame warmup, the $ Line for the Blackhawks should drop even more. The Bruins are playing physical hockey at home and with the way Rask is defending the net I'm taking the Bruins on the $ Line and to win in regulation. I will prob throw a unit or 2 on some props when they are released as well.

            Comment
            • ticklz
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-29-12
              • 962

              #2666
              love it Nino...Bruins are too physical hawks cant matchup
              Comment
              • Huckleberry Pig
                SBR MVP
                • 02-07-13
                • 2564

                #2667
                great write-up nino. Never thought about the injury like that. This is what SBR needs more of - in-depth, insightful posts on your analysis of the upcoming game and why you're taking the side you are.

                I like the Bruins here too and agree they should be -145 to -150 as well. Good luck tonight.
                Comment
                • speedracer122
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-09-13
                  • 193

                  #2668
                  how do you feel about the under 4.5? i think the odds are decent for that to hit
                  Comment
                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-30-10
                    • 5294

                    #2669
                    another confusing line. way off to start with, by about 20 cents imo. majority of bets coming in for BOS so far yet line is now at -125...?
                    Comment
                    • El Nino
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-03-12
                      • 18426

                      #2670
                      Originally posted by ticklz
                      love it Nino...Bruins are too physical hawks cant matchup
                      Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                      great write-up nino. Never thought about the injury like that. This is what SBR needs more of - in-depth, insightful posts on your analysis of the upcoming game and why you're taking the side you are.

                      I like the Bruins here too and agree they should be -145 to -150 as well. Good luck tonight.
                      Comment
                      • El Nino
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-03-12
                        • 18426

                        #2671
                        Originally posted by speedracer122
                        how do you feel about the under 4.5? i think the odds are decent for that to hit
                        If I had to play a total, it would be the under.
                        Comment
                        • Huckleberry Pig
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-07-13
                          • 2564

                          #2672
                          Originally posted by El Nino
                          If I had to play a total, it would be the under.
                          Comment
                          • boeing power
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-10
                            • 9698

                            #2673
                            I think Rask is getting too much credit, the bruins are not giving up any scoring chances.

                            The bruins are dominating the hawks and could easily be up 3-0.

                            I think you're on the right side tonight.
                            Comment
                            • El Nino
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-03-12
                              • 18426

                              #2674
                              Originally posted by El Nino
                              6/19

                              Boston Bruins -133 3.99u 5Dimes
                              Boston Bruins -1/2 1st 60 Min (+125) 1u 5Dimes

                              YTD
                              155-150-4 +34.21u

                              Playoff Record
                              52-65-2 +4.91u

                              So, I am once again shocked by this opening line. I expected to see Bruins right around -145. The books are really going to need the Hawks to steal this one on the road. Rask is playing great at home and with the Hossa injury being very murky and Crawford's less than stellar play I cannot back the Blackhawks here. Injuries in the NHL playoffs are a more tightly kept secret than the Pats injury list. So what "upper body" injury did Hossa have that Coach Q knew could have kept Hossa out for Game 3, but allowed Hossa to skate in the warmup. An injury that Coach Q says that Hossa is "likely" to play in Game 4. I'm going with a head injury here. It is possible that Hossa suffered a concussion in Game 2, the training staff allowed him to try and give it a go in the warm up for Game 3 and he didn't feel right afterward. Hossa would have gutted out any sort of strain or contusion or other similar injury. His safety after suffering a head injury is the only thing that I can think of that would keep him from taking contact and ruling him out of the game. Either way, if he is nursing an injury other than a head injury that was bad enough to keep him out of Game 3, is he really going to be 80%? (nobody is 100% come playoff time) If Hossa is ruled out or he isn't seen on the ice for the pregame warmup, the $ Line for the Blackhawks should drop even more. The Bruins are playing physical hockey at home and with the way Rask is defending the net I'm taking the Bruins on the $ Line and to win in regulation. I will prob throw a unit or 2 on some props when they are released as well.

                              Adding:

                              Boston Bruins (-126) 1.26u 5Dimes
                              Chicago Blackhawks Team Total in Regulation Under 2.5 Goals (-160) 1.6u BookMaker
                              Boston Bruins Score 1st Goal (-110) 1.1u BookMaker
                              Boston Bruins Series -1.5 Games (-120) 3.6u 5Dimes
                              Boston Bruins Series -1 Games (-168) 6.72u 5Dimes
                              Comment
                              • El Nino
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-03-12
                                • 18426

                                #2675
                                Originally posted by boeing power
                                I think Rask is getting too much credit, the bruins are not giving up any scoring chances.

                                The bruins are dominating the hawks and could easily be up 3-0.

                                I think you're on the right side tonight.
                                Last game, I agree. There wasn't many tough saves he had to make due to the B's defensive play in front of him. The difference between Rask and Crawford is his rebound control. Crawford makes the first save but leaves the puck in dangerous areas. Rask deflects almost every shot to the dashers. Both goalies have been fortunate with posts in this series. However, a goalie will tell you that is caused by perfect positioning.
                                Comment
                                • El Nino
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-03-12
                                  • 18426

                                  #2676
                                  5 goals in the 2nd period...unreal.
                                  Comment
                                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-30-10
                                    • 5294

                                    #2677
                                    this is an exciting game to watch. you still think BOS gets this one?
                                    Comment
                                    • El Nino
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-03-12
                                      • 18426

                                      #2678
                                      Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                      this is an exciting game to watch. you still think BOS gets this one?
                                      Great back and forth. Boston has the momentum, hoping they bury another here shortly.
                                      Comment
                                      • ItsMeMrMattE
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-30-10
                                        • 5294

                                        #2679
                                        lol wow. i dont watch much hockey. this being the first season really that ive paid any sort of attention to it. that being said this is the best game ive ever seen. i wish all match ups had +10 goals.
                                        Comment
                                        • El Nino
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 18426

                                          #2680
                                          Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                          lol wow. i dont watch much hockey. this being the first season really that ive paid any sort of attention to it. that being said this is the best game ive ever seen. i wish all match ups had +10 goals.
                                          This is crazy. I need a BIGDAY banana dance in here.
                                          Comment
                                          • Microphone
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-08-08
                                            • 2950

                                            #2681
                                            I'm exhausted. I don't get what people see in the NBA. You could never have sustained play in that sport. There would be 8 timeouts and 9 fouls in a 2 minute span whereas the NHL is end to end.
                                            Comment
                                            • ItsMeMrMattE
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-30-10
                                              • 5294

                                              #2682
                                              Originally posted by Microphone
                                              I'm exhausted. I don't get what people see in the NBA. You could never have sustained play in that sport. There would be 8 timeouts and 9 fouls in a 2 minute span whereas the NHL is end to end.
                                              hockey is like soccer on ice. and by ice i mean meth-amphetamine.
                                              Comment
                                              • Huckleberry Pig
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-07-13
                                                • 2564

                                                #2683
                                                damn.
                                                Comment
                                                • fitguy67
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-13-11
                                                  • 5082

                                                  #2684
                                                  i was on bruins, and added one before OT...so no $-driven elation here...

                                                  can honestly say...NOTHING like NHLplayoff OT against two evenly-matched teams like this

                                                  fuk lost some money...but damn...got a helluva thrilling ride on the hope-mobile...

                                                  (thank you leafs...no chance in hell playoffs woulda' been so brilliant if they hadn't shrivelled so spectacularly)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • El Nino
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                    • 18426

                                                    #2685
                                                    Great finals...buried today and prob for the series, but fukk it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • El Nino
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-03-12
                                                      • 18426

                                                      #2686
                                                      Be interesting to see how Rask bounces back on the road after getting his shit pushed in.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fitguy67
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                        • 5082

                                                        #2687
                                                        Originally posted by El Nino
                                                        Great finals...buried today and prob for the series, but fukk it.

                                                        Game 1 and Game 4 of this series both gotta be among very best all-tym modern-era games.

                                                        this is the only sport where u shake ur head sometym after a game--win or lose $--and can't really believe just how cool what u saw was!

                                                        this is the real "where amazing happens"...just happens to be enjoying an extra-good version of it this year
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frugalgambler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-30-13
                                                          • 3418

                                                          #2688
                                                          Originally posted by El Nino
                                                          Be interesting to see how Rask bounces back on the road after getting his shit pushed in.
                                                          He bounced back quite nicely after allowing that funny goal from Rangers. I think Bruins at +odds will be the value play. They are not going to wither in Chicago. Then again, I have been losing on NHL, so you should probably fade me (took Penguins to win it all before the Bruins series).
                                                          Comment
                                                          • El Nino
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-03-12
                                                            • 18426

                                                            #2689
                                                            0-5 -8.95u 'd

                                                            YTD
                                                            155-155-4 +25.26u

                                                            Playoff Record
                                                            52-70-2 -4.04u
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Winnipeg Jets
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-16-09
                                                              • 1723

                                                              #2690
                                                              Originally posted by El Nino
                                                              Be interesting to see how Rask bounces back on the road after getting his shit pushed in.
                                                              really? he allowed 6 but crawford was more of a sieve. look where hawks got their goals now look where bruins got theirs. case closed.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Huckleberry Pig
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-07-13
                                                                • 2564

                                                                #2691
                                                                Several of the hawks goals were on counter attacks where they had numbers - got it to the net, and a wide open man got the rebound. A few of them I felt like Rask had no chance on. Bruins players didn't get back and close out their man on D. I thought Crawford looked much worse. Most of the goals on him were not rebound goals but goals that beat him on the first shot, glove side. That will be an issue if he keeps up that type of play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • El Nino
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-03-12
                                                                  • 18426

                                                                  #2692
                                                                  Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                                                                  Several of the hawks goals were on counter attacks where they had numbers - got it to the net, and a wide open man got the rebound. A few of them I felt like Rask had no chance on. Bruins players didn't get back and close out their man on D. I thought Crawford looked much worse. Most of the goals on him were not rebound goals but goals that beat him on the first shot, glove side. That will be an issue if he keeps up that type of play.
                                                                  True, I'm not saying Rask was terrible, but going from an under 1 GAA in the last 8 whatever games and you give up 6 at home...tends to be a mind fukk for some goalies. Rask wasn't screened on that OT goal, he was in bad position and lunged late and missed.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • El Nino
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                                    • 18426

                                                                    #2693
                                                                    6/22

                                                                    Boston Bruins (+130) 5u BookMaker
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Huckleberry Pig
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-07-13
                                                                      • 2564

                                                                      #2694
                                                                      Originally posted by El Nino
                                                                      6/22

                                                                      Boston Bruins (+130) 5u BookMaker
                                                                      like it.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fitguy67
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                                        • 5082

                                                                        #2695
                                                                        if u take the dog in every game in this series u do ok...cuz both teams play well home AND away (unlike "Jekyll & Hyde" teams from California)...like betting on a coin-flip with a 30% bonus payout
                                                                        Comment
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