Originally posted on 01/10/2011:
No.
They are always shaded toward the public side. It is true of every big game.
Listen, just because Auburn is the public/square pick, it does not mean it is the wrong play. Sometimes the squares are right.
The key is that the SECuares would take Auburn -6.5 in a heartbeat. That really shows how biased they are. I lean Oregon here, but it will not be a big bet for me. I have Oregon +3 -105, Oregon +3 -130 (thanks bodog, it's Auburn -3 +142 on Matchbook) and OR ML +120. I will now hedge most of it off.
No.
They are always shaded toward the public side. It is true of every big game.
Listen, just because Auburn is the public/square pick, it does not mean it is the wrong play. Sometimes the squares are right.
The key is that the SECuares would take Auburn -6.5 in a heartbeat. That really shows how biased they are. I lean Oregon here, but it will not be a big bet for me. I have Oregon +3 -105, Oregon +3 -130 (thanks bodog, it's Auburn -3 +142 on Matchbook) and OR ML +120. I will now hedge most of it off.