Originally posted on 08/26/2023:

Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post

*I'll present one handicapping theory for you in the EPL.

...Take a long look at the Promoted Teams (or Relegation-threatened teams) in Aug/Sept.

Why would I say this? Those are the teams that have the budget to feel good about their STARTING 11.

What they DON'T have is a lot of depth. The eleven starters are normally guys with EPL experience. The bench is often filled with youth players who are just now bumping up to EPL level.

Anyway, this is a trend I've seen in the database. It's something I've seen in the past.

Promoted teams are excited to be in the big-league, they can play well for the first four weeks. But they struggle mightily if they pick up injuries and deal with the fixture list.
Yes this is a good angle. Thanks.