Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=30877848'>posted</a> on 05/13/2022:

Ok, real quick, we've had 4 weeks, and even without years of data for the quants to mine, there is still market data and 4 weeks is enough on field data to make some kind of team comparisons.

As far as the flow of money I don't really like this week but just like nearly all football, we have already seen a lot of give and take. I think the Pitt/Hou line, the final game on Sunday, has likely moved to far at 6 points and I think Pitt +6 could be the targer here. I say moved, but most houses picked it up at 5.5 or 6 wile the early opener at Circa was Hou -4.5.

Either way I think the ass of the league, who covered last week's closer, could be the bet this week.

I have ideas for the flow of money, but tonight's game needs to occur. I can make cased for both teams and see, at least for now, a pass tonight.