Originally posted on 01/12/2022:

Quote Originally Posted by Spankyf View Post
Thank you very much, exactly what I wanted to know points wise. I do track Pinnacle as well but used consensus for simplifying my question. Congrats on the spread discount you get, that is a lot long term.

So beating spreads on Pinnacle by approx ~0.5-0.6 per game over many seasons, you're in profit right?

We can get the best of it by that much per game long term but with say an $0.12 vig on Pinnacle spread markets does that yield you a profit say north of 2%? Hope you don't mind me asking.

Edit: by $0.12 vig on Pinnacle I mean $0.06 either way, 1.94 decimal odds each side roughly
Didn't bet 2020 season, wasn't feeling it at the time. 2019 was ok prior to covid break, didnt pick up after it. 2018 was very good, but lost a lot on props, so it balanced out to be even.

Taking more seriously this year, should end up.

It depends which point you beat. 5.5 to 6 on the point calculate would be 10.6 cents. So you have the 54.67 being paid out as if 52.38 for 2.29 edge. so add another 20% for the .10, ~2.52%.

Someone a little bit sharper can check that math hopefully.