Originally Posted by
semibluff
I disagree, unless i'm reading this totally the wrong way. If the calculations were based on Madrid already being ahead then the odds on Madrid would be shrinking by the second as Liverpool ran out of time trying to score an equalising goal. They certainly wouldn't be increasing. With the game supposedly tied the bet would be Madrid to score in the time remaining, and as each second passed the odds would be getting greater. No amount of money would outweigh this time principle. The line moving the wrong way clearly indicates the line being based on incorrect data. If the line was correct it implies Liverpool were only about +135 to score in the last 9 minutes plus injury time. That's incredibly short for an underdog team that before kickoff was somewhere around -115 to score Under 1.5 goals. No-one was legitimately taking +135 about a likely +375 proposition.