Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=25210255'>posted</a> on 01/26/2016:

Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
So you took Iowa State?
Let me try and educate you one more time.

So, you lost 5.5 units on your horrible KU pick.

But--- and this is the part you need to learn as an amateur--- the statistical odds that the KU/ISU game would have fallen within your "+2" was less than 7%. So, you had a 93% probability that 2 points having nothing to do with the game-- and if you understood that-- and bet on the ML-- you would have saved yourself .5 a unit.

Over the course of a season, dumb bets add up.

Books love bettors like you because they feel safer taking a bucket knowing the game has an overwhelming probability of falling nowhere near the number. You can't cap basketball like football. Teams intentionally foul at the end of a game making the final score unpredictable, and rarely falling within a 2 point gap.

The idea that you would throw 5 units on a road team against a Top 10 RPI team is insane.

And then not knowing or understand probabilities and throwing away another .5 unit.

You need to get better.