Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=24403039'>posted</a> on 08/19/2015:
Yeah I was going to post yesterday when it was -190 that I wouldn't be surprised if it got over -200 but I didn't want to sound cocky, but man it really flew up there, -220.
That being said, I've read some prominent gamblers posting recently about how people need to stop worrying about "value" so much. Yes, getting a good line is extremely important and saves you money in the long run, but what is more important is being on the right side. If you think a team at +160 has value because you think the line should be +155, but you still don't think they win the game, don't do it. Worry about picking winners, not laying the juice.
Obviously you need to be a little careful on that, you can't be picking Dodgers -180 every night or you will have a hugely losing season. But yeah, if you think a team is going to win, unless the line is outrageous like -500, go ahead and take a shot. Most likely you'll get a winner.
I always think big ML favorites on MLB aren't that bad. If this was NFL, Toronto would be like -12.5 vs. Phillies today. They would be like -350 moneyline. I know you can't really and shouldn't compare MLB to NFL, but this is a game that Toronto wins 8 out of 10 times. That's better than -220 odds. And that's all I have to say about that.
Originally posted by jjgold
That being said, I've read some prominent gamblers posting recently about how people need to stop worrying about "value" so much. Yes, getting a good line is extremely important and saves you money in the long run, but what is more important is being on the right side. If you think a team at +160 has value because you think the line should be +155, but you still don't think they win the game, don't do it. Worry about picking winners, not laying the juice.
Obviously you need to be a little careful on that, you can't be picking Dodgers -180 every night or you will have a hugely losing season. But yeah, if you think a team is going to win, unless the line is outrageous like -500, go ahead and take a shot. Most likely you'll get a winner.
I always think big ML favorites on MLB aren't that bad. If this was NFL, Toronto would be like -12.5 vs. Phillies today. They would be like -350 moneyline. I know you can't really and shouldn't compare MLB to NFL, but this is a game that Toronto wins 8 out of 10 times. That's better than -220 odds. And that's all I have to say about that.