Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=24403039'>posted</a> on 08/19/2015:

Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
I think the line is inflated now so I would not play it
Yeah I was going to post yesterday when it was -190 that I wouldn't be surprised if it got over -200 but I didn't want to sound cocky, but man it really flew up there, -220.

That being said, I've read some prominent gamblers posting recently about how people need to stop worrying about "value" so much. Yes, getting a good line is extremely important and saves you money in the long run, but what is more important is being on the right side. If you think a team at +160 has value because you think the line should be +155, but you still don't think they win the game, don't do it. Worry about picking winners, not laying the juice.

Obviously you need to be a little careful on that, you can't be picking Dodgers -180 every night or you will have a hugely losing season. But yeah, if you think a team is going to win, unless the line is outrageous like -500, go ahead and take a shot. Most likely you'll get a winner.

I always think big ML favorites on MLB aren't that bad. If this was NFL, Toronto would be like -12.5 vs. Phillies today. They would be like -350 moneyline. I know you can't really and shouldn't compare MLB to NFL, but this is a game that Toronto wins 8 out of 10 times. That's better than -220 odds. And that's all I have to say about that.