Originally posted on 09/25/2014:

The best Green Bay argument is that if GB loses they are seriously buried and maybe toast for the season. Will the NFL allow this to happen? NFL games are random enough, especially now, that refs can easily engineer games if desired. There's a lot of randomness out there. But on balance, the Bears are better and at home.

Might be best to stay away. If you take GB and lose you feel like a penetrating idiot for giving points on the road with the worse team. If you take the Bears and lose you feel like a penetrating idiot for fighting the system.

Maybe just stay away here.