Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=20321812'>posted</a> on 11/21/2013:
Quit looking at lines. Cap the games and bet the winners. If you think Northern Illinois is a better team and will win the game don't look at line movement. There is a reason lines move. Sometimes the books move lines to get action on opposite teasers. For example Saints opened at -7.5 so the can get action on -1.5 teaser and then moved to +9 so the can get action on +15 Falcons. Books are smart.
Quit looking at lines. Cap the games and bet the winners. If you think Northern Illinois is a better team and will win the game don't look at line movement. There is a reason lines move. Sometimes the books move lines to get action on opposite teasers. For example Saints opened at -7.5 so the can get action on -1.5 teaser and then moved to +9 so the can get action on +15 Falcons. Books are smart.