Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=17899958'>posted</a> on 02/23/2013:

Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
Well technically the fight could end in the last 2 minutes 30 seconds, thus not going the distance, but that is quite a swing there from Minus odds to plus odds. Usually when you have the odds at -125, they are favoring the fight to basically go the distance, but if the fights ends with 10 seconds left to go, this play would still win while the other would lose.
Yes, obviously the middle can come in.

The point is one or both of the lines are misset, unless this matchup somehow has a skewed number of late finishes. Which I don't believe it does.

MMA market efficiency does not exist.