Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=15578808'>posted</a> on 08/05/2012:
Playing a side is just adding unnecessary complication and undercutting your profit margin. Don't do it.
The Under 41 is a great position to be in, IMO. If you wanted to hedge, play the Over 37 for a bit and shoot for the middle. At pinny, you can get Over 37 (-110) and could risk $194.50 to win $177, for a net gain of $152.90 if only one hits, or $524.30 if both hit on the 4 point middle. A push-win middle (landing on 37 or 41) would return $177 or $347.30 respectively.
I wouldn't play anything higher than 37 though if you do decide to middle it. The above is about optimizing risk, but personally I'm on the Under in this game so I don't know that it's really a spot I would choose to hedge at all. It really depends on personal taste, whether you like to hedge or not.
Playing a side is just adding unnecessary complication and undercutting your profit margin. Don't do it.
The Under 41 is a great position to be in, IMO. If you wanted to hedge, play the Over 37 for a bit and shoot for the middle. At pinny, you can get Over 37 (-110) and could risk $194.50 to win $177, for a net gain of $152.90 if only one hits, or $524.30 if both hit on the 4 point middle. A push-win middle (landing on 37 or 41) would return $177 or $347.30 respectively.
I wouldn't play anything higher than 37 though if you do decide to middle it. The above is about optimizing risk, but personally I'm on the Under in this game so I don't know that it's really a spot I would choose to hedge at all. It really depends on personal taste, whether you like to hedge or not.