Treaties are not going to matter with Ayre. America doesn't have treaties with Thailand or the Phillipines last time I looked. If they want you, they send a letter to those countries and they send you. Those countries can deport anyone as an undesirable. Where do they deport Ayre to? Canada. He'd be arrested coming off the plane, and he would be extradited.

The politics around Assange would be just too enormous to extradite him. Ayre is just your garden variety criminal. Bigger $$$, but still, a criminal, and one who is continuing to flout the law and trash talk US prosecutors.

He will end up in the US.