Originally Posted by
Inkwell77
I have a question about betting the second half (this could work for both college or the NBA.
So lets say the full game line on a game is
Ohio State -10 pts
Michigan State +10 pts
Now for the first half betting Ohio State is -5 pts and Michigan State is +5 pts
Lets say at Halftime the score is 40-38 and Michigan State has the lead.
The second half line comes out Ohio State -4pts, Michigan State +4 pts.
Does anyone ever adopt the strategy that Vegas knows what they are doing, hence, there is an eight point spread here from what Vegas originally thought and what they are thinking now. Before the game Ohio State was a 10 point favorite and now they are a 2 point favorite at halftime. It seems like it would make sense to take Ohio State in the second half.
I'm just wondering if anyone knows this strategy, and it if has been proven to be worthless. It seems like it makes some sense if you believe the sports book knows what they are doing to start the game. But also they probably know what they are doing at the half. Obviously some games there will be no halftime spread to bet, for instance if Ohio State was up 5 pts at halftime and the 2nd half line came out Ohio State -5.
Sorry if this was a bit incoherent! Hopefully it is sorta understandable!! Thanks!