Has anyone dealt with "Dr. John Lawrence"

**unusialsusp5** · 10-06-10, 12:55 PM

pick your own games. no one has a crystal ball. and no one knows anything. it's all luck. how does anyone know who is going to fumble or throw and interception or run back a kickoff in advance. anyone has a 50% chance of being right on any given game. since the takeout on bets is that you need 55% winners to make money the odds are stacked against you. yes, you can be lucky and pick 6 out of 10 but more than likely you will be under the 50% threshold and will be down money over the long term.

**lerhgaf** · 10-06-10, 04:52 PM

Why is someone so seemingly anti-gambling, on a betting forum? Don't reply if you're not going to answer the question asked.

**LarryF** · 10-06-10, 08:14 PM

Who and where did you find the good doctor?

**johnjrakajj** · 11-10-11, 04:41 PM

i have used these handicappers or advisors or whatever they call themselves before in the past and i have made money from their picks and advice. the company i used had inside information from las vegas casinos and won 6 out of 7 picks i paid for. i got one week for 200 and won 6 out of 7 games but i wound up taking all the money they made me that week and bet it all on the sunday night game and lost it all back and couldnt pay for another week. im back playing on my own and cant seem to do better then 50%

**gyiyg** · 11-10-11, 06:41 PM

Assuming they were so sharp , they wouldn't need to make money off other people. Atleast that's how I see it , I could be wrong.

Originally posted by johnjrakajj

i have used these handicappers or advisors or whatever they call themselves before in the past and i have made money from their picks and advice. the company i used had inside information from las vegas casinos and won 6 out of 7 picks i paid for. i got one week for 200 and won 6 out of 7 games but i wound up taking all the money they made me that week and bet it all on the sunday night game and lost it all back and couldnt pay for another week. im back playing on my own and cant seem to do better then 50%

Wow really? Why would they tell people they had inside information?

**Cutler'sThumb** · 12-15-11, 02:17 AM

Here's the deal, as I see it. Going to the casino guarantees that you will lose eventually. Sports betting is stacked against you because of the juice on every play, but if you know how to analyze a given sport (some pros really get into probability theory and statistical analysis) you can find soft lines because the Vegas line is based on nothing more than where they think they need to be to get an equal number of people betting on both sides of a line. Purely public perception. That's why this weekend's New England -7 game at Denver has a very high probability of winning. There are so many idiots out there who think Denver is suddenly an elite team because of their winning streak and the Tebow phenomenon that they are piling on Denver. Truth is that New England is the first real team they've played since Detroit housed them. Really good chance that happens again Sunday, but lots will be on Denver. Never bet too much on any one play, but this is the definition of a soft line, and a prime example of why unusia is wrong above. Most lose money gambling because they just shoot from the hip and hope to get lucky. Smart sports gamblers look for high probability situations where the public is distorting where the real line should be.
GL all

**LT Profits** · 12-15-11, 02:43 AM

If New England -7 is a "soft" line, then what do you call my play on New England -6?