Would access to vigfree line guarantee results?

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  • asdfasdf1
    SBR Rookie
    • 07-28-10
    • 3

    #1
    Would access to vigfree line guarantee results?
    In a world where you have access to vigfree lines would it be easy to make say 2-3% ROI on wagers? For example watch price movements of MLB lines from open. Say in the first 8 hours it goes like this:

    Open -110
    1am -115
    2am -120
    3am -123
    4am -125
    5am -126
    6am -126
    7am -126

    This looks like sharp money pounding an opening line to the current "true line" and then stopping because -126 no longer provides value in their mind. However, the vigfree line may be -122 and still worth betting, correct? Or do line movements & book line adjustments not really work like this?

    Not related to this post topic, but one more newbie question: a line of -109/-101 suggests vigfree odds of roughly -105/+103 correct?
  • asdfasdf1
    SBR Rookie
    • 07-28-10
    • 3

    #2
    lol ok 2nd part of my post makes no sense... does -109/-101 translate to roughly -104/+104? Still curious about 1st paragraph in my post obviously.
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