LifeLock 400 Michigan

**avssakic** · 06-11-08, 02:24 PM

michigan is usually dominated by rousch.

Edwards +600
Biffle +800
Kenseth +1000
Stewart +1000
Kahne +1000

**shock11** · 06-11-08, 02:45 PM

I going to pick Kahne too at +1150. He dominated the race last week so bad and won at this track before. His odds will go down to 4 or 5 to 1 again if he does welll in practice and starts up front

**hawk 5** · 06-11-08, 09:46 PM

So far I have Vickers +4100 and Edwards +550. Will probably add 1 or 2 more depending on qualifying. Edwards will be hard to beat.

**Big_Cheese** · 06-12-08, 06:03 AM

Top 5

Ryan Newman 7-1

BetGameDay

**hawk 5** · 06-14-08, 07:29 AM

Qualifying rained out. June 2007 winner C Edwards. Edwards has finished on lead lap in all 7 Mich races. 5 of last 7 winners from outside top 10. Historically races won at Mich from top 5 is 64.9%, from top 10 79.2%.

**zootiehead** · 06-14-08, 07:50 AM

Taking Edwards on the consensus. Good work gentlemen

**Willie Bee** · 06-14-08, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by avssakic

michigan is usually dominated by rousch.

This article agrees...

LifeLock 400: Roush at Michigan

Game Time: 06/15/2008 02:00 PM -
By: Brian Gabrielle | bgsports.com

The tri-oval at Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn, MI, is the next stop for NASCAR's Smokeless Set, with Carl Edwards and Kyle Busch two drivers to keep your eye on.

Last Week: We hate Pocono. It's a boring track, a boring race, and we posted our first shutout week of the season, losing all three of our straight-up bets and watching the guy we selected for our head-to-head wager, Kyle Busch, finish 43rd after wrecking early. Gah.

We're happy to get the heck out of rural Pennsylvania. For the week, we lost 1.5 units; for the season, we've profited 6.2 units on 20 units wagered, a return of 31%, and we've given you winning weeks in 12 of 14 events.

NOTE: All odds are from Linesmaker.com

Take Carl Edwards (+500), 1/6th unit: This week, the Smokeless Set heads to the Irish Hills of Michigan for a far more enjoyable race to watch (and hopefully to wager upon). Edwards has won three events this year, and all have come at aero-sensitive tracks like Michigan International Speedway.

Also, he was dominant at MIS's sister track in Fontana back in February. He's got six top 10s in seven starts at this track, so you know he'll be close. I think he's got a great shot at taking his fourth win of the season.

Take Kyle Busch (+500), 1/6th unit: And if it's not Edwards, it'll likely as not be the younger Busch. The kid screwed us with that last-place finish in Pocono, but given what a beast he's been on downforce tracks this year, I expect him to be strong on Sunday. Plus he's got a serious attitude, and wants to show last weekend was a fluke. P.S. - It was.

Before last week, Busch was riding a five-race streak in which he'd finished third or better in every event. Expect him near the front all day on Sunday.

Take Matt Kenseth (+1000), 1/6th unit: The No. 17 has definitely perked up over the last month. Just a few weeks ago it looked like Kenseth was dead in the water, but since then he's inched up to 15th in points, just three spots from the Chase, with four consecutive top-10 finishes.

It definitely can be said that sometimes Kenseth lacks the killer instinct to close the deal and win races, but he's got two career victories at MIS, is part of the Roush team that dearly loves to do well at this venue because it's so close to its corporate headquarters, and he's got eight top 10s in his last 10 tries here.

**shock11** · 06-14-08, 03:59 PM

Martin Truex Jr 30-1 10 UNITS TO WIN

**onlooker** · 06-14-08, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by avssakic

michigan is usually dominated by rousch.

Yes they do.

I will have two Roush driver on my list of wagers. Edwards and Kenseth.

**BadNina** · 06-14-08, 08:53 PM

Ok...so Shrub got into Ron Hornaday in the truck race and had a "confrontation" afterwards. And Harvick got involved too, being the car owner and all. Happy will put someone in a wall. Anyone think there is a chance of that tomorrow?

And is it wrong of me to hope so?

**hawk 5** · 06-14-08, 10:40 PM

Just don't like Kyle here. His car has been sht all week. J Johnson is really running well. He starts up front, fast in practice. Adding JJ +830, and Biffle+780. GL all.

**onlooker** · 06-14-08, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by hawk 5

J Johnson is really running well. He starts up front

Are you sure? I thought Kyle Busch starts up front. Plus everywhere I look have him up front in their starting grids. Because of the rain out.

**hawk 5** · 06-14-08, 10:48 PM

Originally posted by shock11

Martin Truex Jr 30-1 10 UNITS TO WIN

10 units on Truex? Tell me what I'm missing, please.

**onlooker** · 06-14-08, 10:51 PM

Truex has did well at Michigan, last two races finishing 2nd, but I don't see 10 units on him.

**hawk 5** · 06-14-08, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by onlòóker

Are you sure? I thought Kyle Busch starts up front. Plus everywhere I look have him up front in their starting grids. Because of the rain out.

Up front meaning top 10, my bad. I get to thinking the top ten is up front and the other 33 spots don't count. Thanks for correcting me.

**onlooker** · 06-14-08, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by hawk 5

Up front meaning top 10, my bad. I get to thinking the top ten is up front and the other 33 spots don't count. Thanks for correcting me.

Ah, I get ya now. Yeah, he starts from the 6th spot.

**Mr Nuts** · 06-15-08, 07:33 AM

Johnson vs Biffle
Johnson-105

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 09:20 AM

Winners - Current Odds

These odds are not Final

Jimmie Johnson +815 (3*)
Greg Biffle +765 (2*)
Carl Edwards +540 (1*)

Set Odds - Top 5

KYLE BUSCH (13 to 8 Odds) (5*)

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 10:25 AM

LifeLock 400 - To Lead Most Laps

Kyle Busch (5-1 Odds) (1*)

Jimmie Johnson (4-1 Odds) (3*)

Greg Biffle (4-1 Odds) (2*)

Over Carl Edwards, Tony Stewart, Jeff Gordon, Matt Kenseth, Denny Hamlin, and Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Source: BetGameDay

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 10:40 AM

Parlay Odds 25.20 to 1

Greg Biffle (-120)
Greg Biffle vs. Carl Edwards

Brian Vickers (+110)
David Ragan vs Brian Vickers

Denny Hamlin (+110)
Kasey Kahne vs Denny Hamlin

Casey Mears (-125)
Casey Mears vs Juan Pablo Montoya

Kurt Busch (-125)
Kurt Busch vs Ryan Newman

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 12:03 PM

LifeLock 400 - Top 5

CARL EDWARDS (1-1 Odds) (2.5*)

**avssakic** · 06-15-08, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by Big_Cheese

These odds are not Final

Jimmie Johnson +815 (3*)
Greg Biffle +765 (2*)
Carl Edwards +540 (1*)

[/B]

These are the three I am going with as well

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by avssakic

These are the three I am going with as well

Seems like we did the same last week as well. We cap the same way.... (The only way), Its asshame more folks cant figure it out !!! Im still slightly worried about Kyle However. I might put a small wager on him as well. will see, Hes up to +865. Unbelievable how the public has alreay forgot. I unloaded on his top 5 at 13-8, which is now currently 8-11. Glad I got it when I did. You got to figure, being that Kyle finished 43 last week that they would shoot for a top 5. He doesnt have the best ride but he is on the pole and if he doesnt push his car to the max he can salvage a top 5 finish

**Big_Cheese** · 06-15-08, 01:46 PM

Top 3

Jimmie Johnson +250 (1*) - Final odds- Last Minute Wager

Final Odds on Winners:

Jimmie Johnson +795 (4.20*)
Greg Biffle +575 (3.70*)
Carl Edwards +530 (1.50*)
Kyle Busch +880 (0.50*)
Jeff Burton +4945 (0.10*)

**onlooker** · 06-15-08, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by shock11

Early Michigan Picks
Top 3 Brian Vicker 12-1 (has a had a top 3 car last 3 races)
Top 3 Martin Truex 10-1 (Came in top 3 last 2 michigan races)
Top 3 Kurt Busch 10-1 (won last year, looking good last few races)
To Win: Dale Jr 10-1 this is his week

Good hit. But the guy got a gift.

**shock11** · 06-16-08, 06:50 PM

[QUOTE=onlòóker;823007]Good hit. But the guy got a gift.

wasn't that that good of a hit had about 30 units in wagering only got back 55 units with the win. Vickers not coming in the top 3 really pissed me off in the end. Had a top 2 car the whole day

**hawk 5** · 06-16-08, 11:13 PM

[QUOTE=shock11;824907]

Originally posted by onlòóker

Good hit. But the guy got a gift.

wasn't that that good of a hit had about 30 units in wagering only got back 55 units with the win. Vickers not coming in the top 3 really pissed me off in the end. Had a top 2 car the whole day

Great week shock, you hit the nationwide winner too. Be waiting for you next picks.

**Big_Cheese** · 06-21-08, 07:54 AM

Results

FIN ST CAR DRIVER MAKE SPONSOR PTS/BNS LAPS STATUS WINNINGS
1 3 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Chevrolet AMP Energy / National Guard 190/5 203 Running 173,550
2 9 9 Kasey Kahne Dodge Budweiser / LifeLock 170/0 203 Running 161,116
3 16 17 Matt Kenseth Ford Carhartt 170/5 203 Running 155,066
4 18 83 Brian Vickers Toyota Red Bull 165/5 203 Running 97,100
5 12 20 Tony Stewart Toyota The Home Depot 160/5 203 Running 136,986
6 6 48 Jimmie Johnson Chevrolet Lowe's 160/10 203 Running 149,061
7 4 99 Carl Edwards Ford Office Depot 151/5 203 Running 130,200
8 13 6 David Ragan Ford AAA Insurance 147/5 203 Running 98,975
9 27 19 Elliott Sadler Dodge McDonald's Big Mac 138/0 203 Running 112,120
10 23 26 Jamie McMurray Ford Crown Royal Cask No. 16 139/5 203 Running 95,125
11 26 15 Paul Menard Chevrolet Sylvania / Menards 130/0 203 Running 91,875
12 10 29 Kevin Harvick Chevrolet Shell / Pennzoil 127/0 203 Running 124,786
13 1 18 Kyle Busch Toyota M&M's 129/5 203 Running 101,800
14 5 11 Denny Hamlin Toyota FedEx Freight 126/5 203 Running 115,841
15 2 31 Jeff Burton Chevrolet AT&T Mobility 118/0 203 Running 123,008
16 19 28 Travis Kvapil Ford FreeCreditRep
ort.com 115/0 203 Running 107,314
17 17 1 Martin Truex Jr. Chevrolet Bass Pro Shops / Tracker 112/0 203 Running 110,383
18 8 24 Jeff Gordon Chevrolet DuPont 109/0 203 Running 124,286
19 39 84 A.J. Allmendinger Toyota Red Bull 111/5 203 Running 78,650
20 7 16 Greg Biffle Ford DISH Network / DishDVRs 103/0 203 Running 88,875
21 22 2 Kurt Busch Dodge Miller Lite 100/0 203 Running 82,850
22 35 77 Sam Hornish Jr. * Dodge Mobil 1 102/5 203 Running 121,325
23 38 55 Michael Waltrip Toyota NAPA AUTO PARTS 99/5 203 Running 96,408
24 43 10 Patrick Carpentier * Dodge LifeLock 91/0 202 Running 78,800
25 15 8 Mark Martin Chevrolet U.S. Army 88/0 202 Running 110,933
26 11 07 Clint Bowyer Chevrolet Jack Daniel's 85/0 202 Running 91,825
27 24 38 David Gilliland Ford FreeCreditRep
ort.com 82/0 202 Running 92,383
28 42 78 Joe Nemechek Chevrolet Furniture Row
/ DenverMattress.com 79/0 202 Running 72,975
29 36 45 Terry Labonte Dodge Marathon American Spirit Motor Oil 76/0 202 Running 89,933
30 25 5 Casey Mears Chevrolet CARQUEST / Kellogg's 73/0 201 Running 91,200
31 20 43 Bobby Labonte Dodge Marathon American Spirit Motor Oil 70/0 201 Running 112,486
32 31 01 Regan Smith * Chevrolet DEI / Principal Financial Group 67/0 201 Running 82,950
33 34 66 Scott Riggs Chevrolet State Water Heaters 64/0 201 Running 84,983
34 32 41 Reed Sorenson Dodge Target 61/0 200 Running 99,489
35 28 44 David Reutimann Toyota UPS 58/0 200 Running 72,125
36 37 21 Bill Elliott Ford Motorcraft 55/0 200 Running 90,420
37 33 00 Michael McDowell * Toyota Champion Mortgage 52/0 199 Running 81,572
38 21 42 Juan Montoya Dodge Big Red Slim Pack 49/0 194 Running 99,848
39 29 22 Dave Blaney Toyota Caterpillar 46/0 180 Running 71,890
40 30 7 Robby Gordon Dodge RVs.com 43/0 150 Accident 79,850
41 40 96 J.J. Yeley Toyota DLP HDTV 40/0 116 Engine 79,815
42 14 12 Ryan Newman Dodge Alltel 37/0 114 Engine 113,845
43 41 40 Dario Franchitti * Dodge Juicy Fruit Slim Pack 34/0 30 Engine 79,258

Wagering Results:

Missed the winners

Missed the top 5

3-5 on match-ups

Won the most laps led Jimmie Johnson

Off to Sears Point