MARTINSVILLE playoffs (Trucks/Cup)--

[unlearn]

Especially With a touchdown cushion to spare. Def Looking good for us so far.

I'm calling this one early.

[5mike5]

I'm calling this one early.

Don't jinx us Leaner

[5mike5]

Don't jinx us Leaner

Just got out of the shower, hadn't seen 35-0 til just now. Yeah this one is in the books.

[Optional]

Question for you guys with If-Bets.. each time you have the choice to bet the Win amount or a Push amount. If a bet in that chain of bets isn't a Win or Push but a Cancel... will it be graded as a Push and your If-Bet is still open, or does that end the chain?

I ask because I have this situation on 5Dimes where I have a lot of Nascar bets in a chain of If-Bets, but included in there is Scherzer vs Ryu ? Where Scherzer wound up getting scratched from the start. So it won't be a Win or Push but a Cancel.

Opti is away today but comes back tomorrow i think. If nobody else knows he will im sure

I would just be guessing

I don't know for sure either without reading the rules again. But it sounds like it would be treated same as a push in that context to me.

Let us know...

[Optional]

Max given a 3 place grid penalty for failing to slow to yellow on final lap of Q3 when Bottas crashed. Going to be tough to beat Ferrari lockout in the front row. Will likely just hammer Max>Lewis h2h and maybe top 3

Man, that ruins what was looking like a really interesting first few laps, and race.

Just hit Max +400 again at Bovada.

Any idea about weather yet?

Might do the same especially if heavyish rain is still expected,

Unless Opti texts me some FL bets prob wont play F1 cause won't watch much of it besides the start cause will it will be on same time as Cup race.

Have to do a bit more reading... have not fully caught up with Quali news, or the truck race. So not sure yet.

Definitely the two Renault cars (RIC/Hulk) @ 100/1

But the rest of the longshots not great odds. We probably burned them with the 1000/1 shot winning recently

Will post before the race if I learn anything startegic to help us with FL



Carlos Sainz
+10000
Daniel Ricciardo
+10000
Lando Norris
+10000
Nico Hulkenberg
+10000
Sergio Perez
+17500
Pierre Gasly
+17500
Daniil Kvyat
+17500
Kimi Raikkonen
+19000
Lance Stroll
+27500
Kevin Magnussen
+30000
Romain Grosjean
+32500
Antonio Giovinazzi
+50000

[5mike5]

Thanks

[unlearn]

I'm gonna take a shot on Perez for FL and a top 10 at his home race

[unlearn]

60% chance of heavy showers expected opti

[unlearn]

I am only betting cup live. Im way more excited about the F1 race especially if it's wet. Max is a fukkin wizard in the wet conditions

[reigle9]

Bowyer odds don't make sense. Going to use an open on his top 5 once he passes tech

[5mike5]

Think I'll be able to use 2 of the 3 JGR fav cars to close parlay and still get better than 10-1 odds. Very nice. Wish they would post already.

Can just focus on non favs single since ill get 2 of favs at great odds and payoffs and saves risk.

Also if I play any single H2Hs prob just looking at underdogs today

[5mike5]

Bowyer odds don't make sense. Going to use an open on his top 5 once he passes tech

Yeah 2800 to win isn't bad either

[unlearn]

Think I'll be able to use 2 of the 3 JGR fav cars to close parlay and still get better than 10-1 odds. Very nice. Wish they would post already.

Can just focus on non favs single since ill get 2 of favs at great odds and payoffs and saves risk.

Also if I play any single H2Hs prob just looking at underdogs today

Those cucks didnt offer combos last week. Only team odds

[5mike5]

Those cucks didnt offer combos last week. Only team odds

Oh shit well that maybe a problem

Guess i could go team or manufacter maybe

[reigle9]

Bowyer odds don't make sense. Going to use an open on his top 5 once he passes tech

Actually +200 sucks compared to win odds. Wins odds are nuts to me. He was already my top 10 bet before topping practice across the board

[reigle9]

Opti can you tell me what the odds on jgr without jones should be?

[unlearn]

So the dipshits over at dimes voided 3rd leg of a parlay for a bad line and fukked up the manual adjustment. A $50 parlay with odds of -155 & -160 would net 83.67. So should have been 133.67 credited back. They did 83.67 which was the win amount but I never got the stake back. Been dealing with it for 2 hours and still cant get anybody with a brain. Shot an email to someone opti recommended but still no response. They are trying to steal $50 from me and the idiot live chat people keep telling me 3 more minutes. What would reigle do?

[unlearn]

Think I finally got someone who can do math.

[5mike5]

Pretty much knew those correlated werent getting paid out

Lol at the CS there

[Optional]

Opti can you tell me what the odds on jgr without jones should be?

Denny Hamlin +340
Kyle Busch +385
Martin Truex Jr +540

This equals -147 for any of them to win.

[Optional]

So the dipshits over at dimes voided 3rd leg of a parlay for a bad line and fukked up the manual adjustment. A $50 parlay with odds of -155 & -160 would net 83.67. So should have been 133.67 credited back. They did 83.67 which was the win amount but I never got the stake back. Been dealing with it for 2 hours and still cant get anybody with a brain. Shot an email to someone opti recommended but still no response. They are trying to steal $50 from me and the idiot live chat people keep telling me 3 more minutes. What would reigle do?

Pain in the ass, but it will definitely get fixed. It's such an obvious error.

Be cool though, don't want to give some higher up a reason to look at why the parlay the reduced and get nasty back at you.

[5mike5]

Combos posted

[5mike5]

Can get around 13-1 off 18/19 combo. 11 18 is over 10-1 and 11/19 around same

[Optional]

Looking at what tires each f1 team has left it appears that there is some chance of a longshot fastest lap.

If it does not rain that is. All this is irrelevant if it does. But rain could mix things up and produce a surprise anyway I guess. Not one we can cap for though.


Anyway, out of the top 10 starters on grid all the teams have no Soft tires left, apart from Mercedes.

So 8 of the top 10 will almost for sure use Medium > Hard > Medium or Medium > Medium > Hard as tire options for the race.


Mercedes, plus everyone else in the field has kept 1 set of Soft tires for the race, meaning they will probably go Medium > Hard > Soft for the race.

Which will mean they change later to their last set of tires, on less fuel and the faster tires. So one of this group is most likely to take the fastest lap.

Mercedes are most likely of course, but with the drivers championship potentially decided today, they could be more concerned with that than en extra point for fastest lap today too.


Sooooooo...

I think the Torro Rosso cars are the most likely to want to take fastest lap whether it for a point of not. So taking them.

I think Renault strategized from the start of the weekend to start outside top 10 and gain this tire advantage and will also want something from it even if not in the top 10. So taking them.

Force India and McLaren both capable of it speed wise and on correct strategy so guess I better take them too.

Can't see Haas or Alfa having the outright speed to set a fastest lap this week, and guess i'll leave out Williams too






TLDR?

Fastest Lap bets are;

Carlos Sainz +10000
Daniel Ricciardo +10000
Lando Norris +10000
Nico Hulkenberg +10000
Sergio Perez +17500
Pierre Gasly +17500
Daniil Kvyat +17500
Lance Stroll +27500

Spread $100 over those to win $1545 if any of them hit it


And if you want take Valtteri Bottas +700 as well

[unlearn]

Pain in the ass, but it will definitely get fixed. It's such an obvious error.

Be cool though, don't want to give some higher up a reason to look at why the parlay the reduced and get nasty back at you.

Got it resolved. Thanks for your help. Wasnt going to flip out over a $50 ball but was such an obvious mistake on their end I became increasingly frustrated at the inept CS guys. Finally got someone who understood and it was fixed within a few minutes.

[unlearn]

Pretty much knew those correlated werent getting paid out

Lol at the CS there

Wasnt a correlated. The f1 qualis was an open parlay and I closed it with NOT Verstappen -175 as an arb to Max +400 @ Bovada. They were slow to adjust to his grid penalty

[unlearn]

Gasly has the flu and could be a decent first retirement bet

[5mike5]

Ill tail those 8 longshots for FL. Thanks

[Optional]

Ill tail those 8 longshots for FL. Thanks

If you want to dutch it exactly, $16.45 on the 100/1s, $9.40 on the 175/1s and $6 on Stroll

Per $100 total bet

[5mike5]

If you want to dutch it exactly, $16.45 on the 100/1s, $9.40 on the 175/1s and $6 on Stroll

Per $100 total bet

sounds good thnx

[unlearn]

Hamlin the overall favorite yet +125 vs Kyle in h2hs. Hmm

[BigJay]

Just watched the truck race on DVR. We spent yesterday driving to Ft. Worth to watch my Longhorns get smoked.

Insane race. Did anyone else’s Fox Sports 1 pull a Heidi and have the screen go blank on the overtime restart and finish? They switched to the radio feed and you could hear the call of the race and finish. A few seconds later they showed the 4 victory spin out and the announcers said, congrats on the win we have to go to football now. Then it was on okst and Iowa State. Bush league. I didn’t see anyone mention it so I thought it might have been a Texas regional thing.

Spent two hours this morning watching a race I didn’t get to see the finish of.

[5mike5]

Hamlin the overall favorite yet +125 vs Kyle in h2hs. Hmm

Liking 22>18 +168 at big odds

[unlearn]

Hulk>Grosjean-185
Dan>Mag-170
11/18 wins +145
(+500)

[leovegas]

Wasnt a correlated. The f1 qualis was an open parlay and I closed it with NOT Verstappen -175 as an arb to Max +400 @ Bovada. They were slow to adjust to his grid penalty

Are there many books you would expect to keep paying you and playing with you after a couple of bets where they were, to quote you, 'slow to adjust' to something as major as this? From what I read on the forums, this is routinely qualified as taking a shot (at a 'bad line') and most definitely gives you attention you don't want if you worry about longevity of your account there.