GroundnPound NRL Thread Season 2010

WalkingLuckCharm · 09-16-10, 09:14 PM

good crucial 3

WalkingLuckCharm · 09-16-10, 09:17 PM

nothing looks good anymore, cle tied pits down 4

GroundnPound · 09-16-10, 09:18 PM

Call me crazy here it is.

Geelong Cats Vs Collingwood Magpies (ML) -(5.5x)

maroona · 09-16-10, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by GroundnPound

Call me crazy here it is.

Geelong Cats Vs Collingwood Magpies (ML) -(5.5x)

Of course i'm with you bro, lets cash it

WalkingLuckCharm · 09-16-10, 09:22 PM

How you feeling about the AFL play.

I was also looking to make a big parlay with Tigers spread and Roosters Spread.

GroundnPound · 09-16-10, 09:23 PM

Geelong is going to be such a public play, there going to diss out all the stats about Geelong being in the finals for so many years + reigning champs etc.

I unloaded about 2 days of profit for this lol. But got a good feeling I will be smirking after the win.

I just see a St Kilda/Collingwood final.

WalkingLuckCharm · 09-16-10, 09:27 PM

Ok. Will be on this play for a medium amount.

What do you think of my plays?

I have a feeling that Raiders won't cover their spread.

GroundnPound · 09-16-10, 09:35 PM

This is the play

I think tigers cover man

GroundnPound · 09-16-10, 09:37 PM

I will probs be in here cheering tonight lol

GroundnPound · 09-16-10, 09:39 PM

Wait for Tigers +6.5 on pinny its +6 now.

I will probs play it for (0.5x)

sportscash · 09-16-10, 10:07 PM

Nice bet i am thinking the same way.Cash that shit

51684 · 09-16-10, 10:55 PM

I'm on it too

hedgejob · 09-16-10, 10:58 PM

One thing that tips me towards Collingwood is this - everytime the Geelong coach (Thompson) talks shit during the week they lose. He senses they are vulnerable so he tries to play mind games with the opponent and it back fires. He did it against Collingwood last game, against Saints, and again this week.

Side by Side boys

hedgejob · 09-16-10, 10:59 PM

1.885 now at Pinny lol

Domestic · 09-16-10, 11:28 PM

Also waiting for tigers to get to 6.5.
I'm nervous for you guys when it comes to the collingwood game.

Gee · 09-16-10, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by GroundnPound

Call me crazy here it is.

Geelong Cats Vs Collingwood Magpies (ML) -(5.5x)

yup,

only playing to win $250 though.

my rule is if i'd feel shit if i lose, i'm betting too much

that being said, i'm drinking at home with mates tonight watching the game, so i'll probably save myself $250.00 by staying home and beer being left at mine... should i dump that on the pies too?

i think you moved the line you fvck

its now -113 on pinny. its at friggin' $1.76 on bet365. what a dud line there.

betfair at $1.97 (minus 5% commission if they win at $1.92 is best value).

Domestic · 09-16-10, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by Gee

yup, only playing to win $250 though. my rule is if i'd feel shit if i lose, i'm betting too much

that being said, i'm drinking at home with mates tonight watching the game, so i'll probably save myself $250.00 by staying home and beer being left at mine... should i dump that on the pies too? i think you moved the line you fvck

its now -113 on pinny. its at friggin' $1.76 on bet365. what a dud line there. betfair at $1.97 (minus 5% commission if they win at $1.92 is best value).

Do you tell your mates you have money riding on the game when you watch it together, I never do, just awkward if I lose.

Gee · 09-17-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Do you tell your mates you have money riding on the game when you watch it together, I never do, just awkward if I lose.

i usually say a lot less than i actually do

people just don't understand and i can't be bothered explaining it all.

even worse an be if you win, everyone thinks drinks should be on you, when we all know it doesn't work like that.

Domestic · 09-17-10, 12:37 AM

Originally posted by Gee

i usually say a lot less than i actually do

people just don't understand and i can't be bothered explaining it all. even worse an be if you win, everyone thinks drinks should be on you, when we all know it doesn't work like that.

Hahaha yeah seriously. Win you win a bet people act like you have just won lotto or something and act as if you didn't risk anything to win.

rav_himself · 09-17-10, 12:44 AM

GnP any plays on J.Groth's match coming up?

kopite · 09-17-10, 01:00 AM

On Pies at betfair $1.97 less 2% comm = $1.95

Let's cash it boys, cats reign about to end. Very hard in modern game to make 4 straight grannies

GroundnPound · 09-17-10, 01:50 AM

Even money at pinny lads, which only bothers me because I didn't get an extra $16.50 out of my bet.

Fvck the line movement, if they move Collingwood to + money i am putting another unit.

peterw111 · 09-17-10, 02:05 AM

TONIGHTS GAMES

AFL

GEELONG V COLLINGWOOD: WHAT A GAME TONIGHT!!! This should of been the GRAND FINAL.....Anyway, I'm into both of these teams and can't fault either teams performances throughtout the finals.

Will Collingwood buckle under the pressure..... ME NOT THINK SO.....Has the run of Geelong come to a end....ME NOT THINK SO......Will Collingwood kick more GOALS than BEHINDS.....Too close to call....Who will fire out the gates first.....Now thats what I'm thinking???

The one thing that I always try to follow is how a team bounces back from the weeks break..

Sensing that Geelong has a bit of momentum from last weeks game,they will fire up and try to blow the Pies away early.If thats the case then a first quarter bet may be the option....

Over/under is set at 180.5pts....Close to the mark but I'll lean to under...

TIP: GEELONG WIN 1st Quarter @$1.95

I'm might be Biased here...I have Geelong to win the Grand Final in a few AFL/NRL doubles and some 5 leg multis still in play so I'm going to TIP GEELONG by 27 points. Projected score GEELONG 97 COLLINGWOOD 70. Sorry Guys!!!

NRL RAIDERS V TIGERS: The tigers split my heart open last week how they imploded and lost that game...The Raiders are going along as good as anybody....Who wins????Who loses????

IMO this game could be a shootout...Looking at over/under over ATS at this stage...If anything I'm leaning TIGERS +6.5 pts.........

TIP: OVER 42.5 pts

GOOD LUCK ALL TONIGHT.....

Gee · 09-17-10, 02:06 AM

Pinny is a weight of money book on afl.

Seeing what the aus books are doing is much more helpful. I never read in to afl line moves on pinny

Domestic · 09-17-10, 02:09 AM

Originally posted by peterw111

TONIGHTS GAMES AFL GEELONG V COLLINGWOOD: WHAT A GAME TONIGHT!!! This should of been the GRAND FINAL.....Anyway, I'm into both of these teams and can't fault either teams performances throughtout the finals. Will Collingwood buckle under the pressure..... ME NOT THINK SO.....Has the run of Geelong come to a end....ME NOT THINK SO......Will Collingwood kick more GOALS than BEHINDS.....Too close to call....Who will fire out the gates first.....Now thats what I'm thinking??? The one thing that I always try to follow is how a team bounces back from the weeks break.. Sensing that Geelong has a bit of momentum from last weeks game,they will fire up and try to blow the Pies away early.If thats the case then a first quarter bet may be the option.... Over/under is set at 180.5pts....Close to the mark but I'll lean to under... TIP: GEELONG WIN 1st Quarter @$1.95 I'm might be Biased here...I have Geelong to win the Grand Final in a few AFL/NRL doubles and some 5 leg multis still in play so I'm going to TIP GEELONG by 27 points. Projected score GEELONG 97 COLLINGWOOD 70. Sorry Guys!!! NRL RAIDERS V TIGERS: The tigers split my heart open last week how they imploded and lost that game...The Raiders are going along as good as anybody....Who wins????Who loses???? IMO this game could be a shootout...Looking at over/under over ATS at this stage...If anything I'm leaning TIGERS +6.5 pts......... TIP: OVER 42.5 pts GOOD LUCK ALL TONIGHT.....

Can't believe the tigers/raiders total is not something more like 48. That being said I hate playing overs and I'm not gonna touch it.
Might tail you on the Geelong 1st Q.

peterw111 · 09-17-10, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Can't believe the tigers/raiders total is not something more like 48. That being said I hate playing overs and I'm not gonna touch it.
Might tail you on the Geelong 1st Q.

I agree with you on the overs/unders Dom....Especially the overs because you generally have to hang out till the 70 -80 min to get the over and your STRESSING out on the total throughout the whole game...

But if's it's at a nice figure and your confident with it and you believe the value of the bet is there than you have to treat it like any other bet...

Gee · 09-17-10, 02:19 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Hahaha yeah seriously. Win you win a bet people act like you have just won lotto or something and act as if you didn't risk anything to win.

Yeah, it drives me crazy. That's why I'll say I've got 50 on instead of hundreds and people will still think that's HUGE. Even after big wins, it's still important to remember the value of money in the real world! Most people work hours to make what we can off one game (not me)

whitedogau · 09-17-10, 02:23 AM

betfair is offering Tigers +6.5/over38.5 points....tempting, as is collingwood -6.5/under 187.5 points

Domestic · 09-17-10, 02:27 AM

Yeah peter, I agree with everything you say.
And I agree Gee, no point betting hundreds if you can still get a similar thrill out of 50/100.

Mikail · 09-17-10, 02:31 AM

Looking over the Raiders/Tigers game Tigers +6.5 seems like the right side. Benji or not this one stays close.

Gee · 09-17-10, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by kopite

On Pies at betfair $1.97 less 2% comm = $1.95

Let's cash it boys, cats reign about to end. Very hard in modern game to make 4 straight grannies

Do u have a Betfair acct? If it was 2% I'd be spending a lot more time there. At 5% with some discounts only if you bet lots and lots and no live betting, I CBF with that book most of the time anymore, apart from laying horses.

So getting a 2% rate, I assume you must bet a grand minimum for most games multiple times per day?

Gee · 09-17-10, 02:36 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Yeah peter, I agree with everything you say.
And I agree Gee, no point betting hundreds if you can still get a similar thrill out of 50/100.

Haha, no I meant that's just what I tell my mates for reasons already discussed

I'll have a bit on tonight, despite my better sense telling me I've made enough on afl for the year.

Domestic · 09-17-10, 02:38 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Haha, no I meant that's just what I tell my mates for reasons already discussed

I'll have a bit on tonight, despite my better sense telling me I've made enough on afl for the year.

oh ok, haha, best of luck.

GroundnPound · 09-17-10, 02:52 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Yeah, it drives me crazy. That's why I'll say I've got 50 on instead of hundreds and people will still think that's HUGE. Even after big wins, it's still important to remember the value of money in the real world! Most people work hours to make what we can off one game (not me)

Basically same boat, after this game I am not going above 2x MAXXXXXXXXXXX for at least a week.

Too much gambling makes a man lose his sense of moneys worth.

If this hits withdraw about 2500 from pinny and play small with the other cash.

I also tell friends it is a smaller bet. When you tell them your $50 bet hit and you doubled they almosty orgasm, like it was some unbelievable miracle.

I have mates i mean a lot who slap and they win $50 and they are pumpddddddd.

I hate them machines, because you don't have a choice, you just hit the damn spin button.

GroundnPound · 09-17-10, 03:04 AM

Pinny wants to fvck with the lines, I will take more money from them

(1x) more on it totalling --- (6.5x)