Round 10

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  • brapple
    SBR Rookie
    • 05-20-14
    • 6

    #1
    Round 10
    Interesting odds this round

    cats -14.5 since 2012 odds this low at simonds stadium have only been seen 4 times, Geelong have covered on every occasion. There are definite problems in the Geelong game at the moment, but a hot & cold team like the roos should not be getting this much respect. If Geelong is able to win the hard ball they should control this game from start to finish. Still unsure if this is bookies waiting for a bite. Waiting on teams being named, before pulling the trigger on this one. Most likely 1-1.5 %
    bet size

    hawks +16.5 When was the last time anyone has seen odds like this on the hawks ?
    bookies are definitely making a stand here. I feel betting on this game should be purely based on odds movement, if the line moves in favour of port, betting the hawks may be a smart move. Again 1-1.5% bet size.

    Bulldogs +27.5 last weeks line for the Gold Coast was definitely the highest handicap that's been placed against their name against sides other then GWS. This week the same respect has been given, although on the rise I think the suns will have to work this week & 5 goals is to much. The dogs will be competitive, their game style will keep this close. 3% on the line & 1%
    for the win.

    Any feedback back would be greatly appreciated
  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #2
    Hey mate, I like allt he plays and most likely will be plays of mine.

    I have been eyeing the Cats line for awhile, the main reason for the number is due to a) the cats coming back from perth b) stevie j being out for the game. That been said I think they will rally and perform at Simmonds.

    It's scary to go against the 'Portress' but you ahve to take the points here for the Hawks, they are a class team.
    Comment
    • Domestic
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-10-09
      • 6323

      #3
      How many key players are the hawks going to be missing this weekend? Certainly tempting to take them ATS but Port's fitness is elite.
      Comment
      • MustWinPlease
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-18-14
        • 750

        #4
        Originally posted by therealdealau
        Hey mate, I like allt he plays and most likely will be plays of mine.

        I have been eyeing the Cats line for awhile, the main reason for the number is due to a) the cats coming back from perth b) stevie j being out for the game. That been said I think they will rally and perform at Simmonds.

        It's scary to go against the 'Portress' but you ahve to take the points here for the Hawks, they are a class team.
        North always seem to get up and about against geelong, however they usually play at etihad.
        Comment
        • beeeej12
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-02-13
          • 256

          #5
          Originally posted by Domestic
          How many key players are the hawks going to be missing this weekend? Certainly tempting to take them ATS but Port's fitness is elite.
          Gibson, Lake, Mitchell, Rioli, Roughead and possibly shiels

          Hodge will be a welcome inclusion but if you take at least 5 of their top 10 players out of any team they are going to struggle
          Comment
          • brapple
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-20-14
            • 6

            #6
            those tight wings at Simmonds stadium did it again. Geelong up at the SCG next weekend. That win may add some value to the swans next week, line is currently at -10.5.
            As for tomorrow, hawks deserve a 2% outlay at +15.5 & .5% for a hawks win by ​1-24
            Comment
            • Domestic
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-10-09
              • 6323

              #7
              Originally posted by beeeej12
              Gibson, Lake, Mitchell, Rioli, Roughead and possibly shiels

              Hodge will be a welcome inclusion but if you take at least 5 of their top 10 players out of any team they are going to struggle
              All right, thanks beeej.
              Comment
              • brapple
                SBR Rookie
                • 05-20-14
                • 6

                #8
                GWS vs Richmond over 188.5 at 1%
                Should be a 200-220 point game, GWS to set the pace on their home ground, Richmond will need over 50% accuracy to have any chance at winning this game
                Comment
                • brapple
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 05-20-14
                  • 6

                  #9
                  take it anyway you can, perfect score for a middle hope someone got it.

                  round up for the weekend
                  Geelong –14.5 1% win(although I didn't do a final post on here so I'll leave that one out of the thread win loss count.
                  GWS vs Richmond over 188.5 1% win
                  Hawthorn +15.5 2% win
                  Hawthorn 1-24 .5% loss

                  Still really like the dogs to keep it close tomorrow, line has dipped down to +24.5 might be a good idea to wait till just before the game starts, hopefully the lower line will entice a few bets on the suns and get the points pushed up to around +27.5 again. That should give us a 7 scoring shots bumper, which I'd feel more confident with.
                  Comment
                  • brapple
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 05-20-14
                    • 6

                    #10

                    bulldogs +27.5 1.5 %
                    bulldogs 1-24 .5%
                    bulldogs 20-29 .25%

                    The dogs need a win here if they want to make the eight this yr.
                    Comment
                    • beeeej12
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-02-13
                      • 256

                      #11
                      do you really think the bulldogs are a good enough side to make the 8???
                      Comment
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