The Belmont stakes is a grueling race for these 3 year olds who will be traveling the 1 1/2 mile distance for the 1st time in their young careers. Since the Belmont is a mile and a half you need to be sure your horse can make the distance. That is why the Dosage Index angle is stronger in the Belmont than in the Derby where it's mostly used. The DI is used to quantify a horse's ability, or inability, to negotiate the various distances at which horse races are run. It is calculated based on an analysis of the horse's pedigree. It's a stamina check. Dosage numbers show that a horse with a rating of 4.00 or higher is not suited to running long distances. The lower number in dosage mean that a horse is better suited to go long. As you might expect, the cutoff is dropped to 3.00 instead of 4.00 for the derby.
In Belmont Stakes wagering history there have only been five winners that had dosage numbers higher than 4.00. And only 5 in the last 25 years have had a DI higher than 3.00 This is bad news for Nehro.
Dating back to 1997
2010 Drosselmeyer 1.75
2009 Summer Bird 2.56
2008 Da Tara 2.43
2007 Rags to Riches 3.00
2006 Jazil 3.00
2005 Afleet Alex 2.11
2004 Birdstone 1.77
2003 Empire Maker 1.88
2002 Sarava 4.50
2001 Point Given 3.00
2000 Commendable 5.00
1999 Lemon Drop Kid 2.62
1998 Victory Gallop 3.00
1997 Touch Gold 1.82
Master of Hounds (1.07)
Stay Thirsty (2.25)
Ruler on Ice (2.56)
Santiva (1.67)
Brilliant Speed (1.72)
Nehro (4.33)
Monznon (3.40)
Prime Cut (1.44)
Animal Kingdom (1.67)
Mucho Macho Man (2.43)
Isn't He Pefect (2.06)
Shackelford (3.62)
Throw out the 3 in red. Will be back to cap the rest when i get my hands on the PP's.
In Belmont Stakes wagering history there have only been five winners that had dosage numbers higher than 4.00. And only 5 in the last 25 years have had a DI higher than 3.00 This is bad news for Nehro.
Dating back to 1997
2010 Drosselmeyer 1.75
2009 Summer Bird 2.56
2008 Da Tara 2.43
2007 Rags to Riches 3.00
2006 Jazil 3.00
2005 Afleet Alex 2.11
2004 Birdstone 1.77
2003 Empire Maker 1.88
2002 Sarava 4.50
2001 Point Given 3.00
2000 Commendable 5.00
1999 Lemon Drop Kid 2.62
1998 Victory Gallop 3.00
1997 Touch Gold 1.82
Master of Hounds (1.07)
Stay Thirsty (2.25)
Ruler on Ice (2.56)
Santiva (1.67)
Brilliant Speed (1.72)
Nehro (4.33)
Monznon (3.40)
Prime Cut (1.44)
Animal Kingdom (1.67)
Mucho Macho Man (2.43)
Isn't He Pefect (2.06)
Shackelford (3.62)
Throw out the 3 in red. Will be back to cap the rest when i get my hands on the PP's.
Agreed. Already thought he had a real good chance and planned on betting him. Might add a little more now.
