Fitz Dixon Cotillion H. (G2)

**RJS** · 09-22-07, 12:38 PM

9th (4:01)
Fitz Dixon Cotillion H. (G2)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $750,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Octave Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 123 L 7-5

High weight and already slower than quite a few horses in here. Extremely consistent but has not moved forward much in 6 races this year. Others are lighter and faster so we will bet around and hope for the best.

2 2 Bear Now Baird J Baker Reade 119 L 5-1

5 races as a 2yo and didn’t show much until late December. Has shown great improvement this year and should be ready to run a nice ground saving trip. Will use on top.

3 3 Moon Catcher Marquez C H Jr Ritchey Tim F 120 L 3-1

Did not run as a 2yo but has improved well over her 3yo campaign. If she runs the same race she ran 2 races ago it’s over before it starts. Marquez/Ritchey 27% clip and trainer does well in Philly. Raced 5 times the first 4 months but since then her races have been spaced nicely. Bounced last time out but that was expected. Can't ignore the hook up. Oddsboard......

4 4 Talkin About Love Elliott S Sleeter Kevin G 118 L 5-1

5 races as a 2yo showed nothing. Took almost 6 months off and came back much improved. Her last 2 are much faster than the fav has ever done and is getting weight. Very much in this.

5 5 Humble Janet Bridgmohan S X Asmussen Steven M 116 L 10-1

Scratched

6 6 Syd N Carly's Rose Pennington F Allard Edward T 111 L 20-1

Ran a race 2 back that was also faster than the fav and she’s getting 12 pounds which is worth about 4 lengths. However only 1 of her 5 starts is fast enough to compete here. Great news is she’s 20-1. Would not be surprised if she runs well again today. Can’t throw out.

7 7 Exchanging Fire King E L Jr Mick Stephen R 115 L 10-1

Heavily raced. Could get a check but there are others I have to go with over her.

8 8 Silverinyourpocket Cohen D Lake Scott A 116 L 12-1

Like this horse. Much debate as to how the trainer change to Lake will benefit her here. Came from a decent trainer to begin with but this horse is interesting at 12-1. Lake has put speed into her as shown in her works but not quite sure the lead is where Silverinyourpocket wants to be today. Nice odds and very much live regardless.

2 2 Bear Now Baird J Baker Reade 119 L 5-1 (1)
3 3 Moon Catcher Marquez C H Jr Ritchey Tim F 120 L 3-1 (2.5)
4 4 Talkin About Love Elliott S Sleeter Kevin G 118 L 5-1 (1 possible bounce)
8 8 Silverinyourpocket Cohen D Lake Scott A 116 L 12-1 (2-3)
6 6 Syd N Carly's Rose Pennington F Allard Edward T 111 L 20-1 (2)
1 1 Octave Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 123 L 7-5 (4)
7 7 Exchanging Fire King E L Jr Mick Stephen R 115 L 10-1 (3-4)

As usual will watch the odds board at betting time. Lots of nice horses at decent prices. Octave will make my 3 hole at best.

**bbyhill** · 09-22-07, 01:10 PM

Moon Catcher
Octave
Exchanging Fire

didnt even look at the pp's

**RJS** · 09-22-07, 04:07 PM

Much would have preferred the 1 not finishing but......

9th Race
Fitz Dixon Cotillion H. (G2)

Next Post 4:45 Off: 4:18 | 1 1/16 Miles | 3 Year Olds | Stakes | Purse: $750,000

# Horse Jockey Weight Win Place Show
2 Bear Now Baird J 119 18.80 6.20 4.20
1 Octave Velazquez J R 123 2.10 2.10
4 Talkin About Love Elliott S 118 3.00

Times in 5ths: :232 :462 1:10 1:343 1:411

Times in 100ths: :23.45 :46.52 1:10.19 1:34.68 1:41.21

Scratched: Humble Janet

Also ran: Moon Catcher, Exchanging Fire, Syd N Carly's Rose and Silverinyourpocket

Winning Trainer: Baker Reade - Owner: Bear Stables, Ltd.

$2 Exacta (2-1) Paid $31.00

$2 Trifecta (2-1-4) Paid $150.60

**Seattle Slew** · 09-23-07, 12:04 AM

Nice call on the winner. Octave is always a great bet against.