Still steaming over that Hollywood DQ on Sunday, but some good races on July 4th.
Race 5 at Calder: No. 9 Rehoboth w/ No. 4 Cherion. Rehoboth is 12-1 on the ML and a bit of a stretch here since he is 0-2 on turf. But his running style seems to fit this type of race and I think the favorites are beatable since a few are coming off layoffs. Small play on the longshot.
Race 10 at Belmont: No. 2 In the Spotlight. I had this gelding in his last start at 31-1 and he led with 100 yards left only to get nailed by the two favorites. Cuts back to 7 furlongs and should offer some value as he tries to break maiden. Favorite will be No. 13 Dubliner but he's got to draw in off AE list. Beaten favorite in last four races.
Race 9 at Belmont is the Dwyer. I'm leaning toward Nobizlikeshowbiz, but he's always overbet so will have to watch the tote. I didn't think his Derby effort was that bad. He got bumped around pretty good in most of the race. Sightseeing and Any Given Saturday should get some play and a couple new horses are possible. Should be value somewhere in this race if you're tying to beat Nobiz.
Race 5 at Calder: No. 9 Rehoboth w/ No. 4 Cherion. Rehoboth is 12-1 on the ML and a bit of a stretch here since he is 0-2 on turf. But his running style seems to fit this type of race and I think the favorites are beatable since a few are coming off layoffs. Small play on the longshot.
Race 10 at Belmont: No. 2 In the Spotlight. I had this gelding in his last start at 31-1 and he led with 100 yards left only to get nailed by the two favorites. Cuts back to 7 furlongs and should offer some value as he tries to break maiden. Favorite will be No. 13 Dubliner but he's got to draw in off AE list. Beaten favorite in last four races.
Race 9 at Belmont is the Dwyer. I'm leaning toward Nobizlikeshowbiz, but he's always overbet so will have to watch the tote. I didn't think his Derby effort was that bad. He got bumped around pretty good in most of the race. Sightseeing and Any Given Saturday should get some play and a couple new horses are possible. Should be value somewhere in this race if you're tying to beat Nobiz.
