Gp 3/29

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  • Jellymancan
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-20
    • 3695

    #1
    Gp 3/29
    Race 1

    #1 Wild About This- Two bullets prior to last start, but now cutting back, always on the lead, will try to wire from this post.
    #3 Holly Hill- Fits with these, had issues two starts but was gamely, best jockey in race and good post
    #4 La Guatemalteca- Turf pedigree, longshot but no locks in here so who knows
    #10- Dat Hot Match- Mainden second time out for trainer 14% ROI $2.60

    Race 2

    #3 Vicky Apple- Gets jockey upgrade 2-1-1-0 with this horse at this distance, Saffie 41% of the claim, those two facts enough for a race like this.
    #7 Brookes All mine- Fits with jockey won last time same level, but I like others
    #10- Tiz Possible Dear- Lowest level, does good work here, trainer 21-60 days 29%
    #12- Enlisting- Jaramillo wins with this one month ago (against Vicky Apple) but goes on that one instead, apprentice so that helps a little.

    Race 3

    #1 Pardon My Heart- Second off layoff (improved doing it other two times) Saez aboard, should get good trip in there late.
    #2 Tizahra- Fits with these as third off layoff for first time, fired bullter recent will be ready, but jockey is cold as ice.
    #5 Astoundment- Tyler aboard, long layoff, but showed it has a chance last year with Beyers.
    #6 Ocean Fire- Johnny V for Mott(not the best of days yesterday for either of them) but this horse comes out of race that had two nexted out winners. Consistent.

    Race 4

    #2 Sovereign Appeal- Barn 30% past five years w/ 3rd debut dirt sprints at GP, Sire Ghostzapper (6 for 8 dirt sprints beast) recent bullet.
    #5 Noudha- Seaz Pletcher, 29% over 180 days. Figures will be ready
    #6 Senor Roma- Has speed, barn 26% last five years second out three year olds dirt
    #7 Center Aisle- Rosario, pedigree is there to back up a strong effort
    #13 Starlit Daydream- Mdn second start 25% with Pletcher, tough post, already raced one on many of these two good workouts

    Race 5
    #1 Bean Counter- Jockey train combo second off layoff, drops so should be ready.
    #3 Trieste- Liked his last race, think he'll improve, Berrios underrated.
    #5 Whiskarita- Training well, ran second here last time and I liked how he looked, but stepping up in class and cold jockey.
    #7 Incredible Miss- Zayas on this one and I think he'll have a big day (oh wait, while I type he just won race 1) longshot but who knows as this race has chances all over.

    Race 6
    #1 Mud Pie- He looked good last time, Arnold 23% second off 45-180 day layoff.
    #4 Tigers Back- Jockey upgrade, expect improvement since he's already been out once.
    #5 Nocturnal- Stablemate #12 will probably get most money, but first time out better value here and hot Saez.
    #10 Tio Wil- 3rd start, showed something first time out, think bounce back possible but at a longshot
    #12 Johnny V- Been away for a good amount of time, bad start but Beyer from it fits here.



    Not enough time to do the rest in detail, so will picks ones I like followed by others to consider.

    Race 7

    #4 Mystery Bank- Liked what I saw from this one first off claim w/lasix, steps up to face winners, but should improve, better jockey, Saffie 27# second off claim 45-180 days.
    Others to consider: 1,3,6

    Race 8

    #1 Forever Mo- Outclassed last race but ran really well, 5-3-0-0 outside of stakes , Not sure why they went dirt last out but Beyer number was solid. Speed numbers in those non stakes race fit here, will be overlooked probably do to others/jockey. Won his only start from 1 post (dirt I know) other starts from the 2 and 3 post were very solid.
    Others to consider: 3,4,7,11

    Race 9 (Tough race many choices)

    #7 Navasha- Steps up to face winners, should improve, Paco stays aboard for layoff
    Others to consider: Could make a case for almost all of them, lol but 8 will get hammered

    Race 10 (Tough race many choices)
    #6 Urban Fairytale- Cold jockey, bad training stats this long, but second against a field last out at KEE with 3 next out winners.
    #7 Key Biscayne- 3rd old debut, trainer 30% ROI $10.10..Hello stay 8-1 for Jaramillo please.
    #8- L' Indiscret- Pricey warfront daughter, good training , Tagg doing well this meet
    Others to consider: 1,2,3,9,11,12
    Last edited by Jellymancan; 03-29-20, 04:46 PM.
  • Jellymancan
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-20
    • 3695

    #2
    gp p5

    .50

    1,3/3,12/5,6/2,7,12/3,5,7
    Comment
    • mrginandtonic
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-09
      • 7734

      #3
      Thank you and GL!!
      Comment
      • littlekona
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-19-15
        • 5242

        #4
        that was crazy money that came in late on the 3 last race from 7/2 to even money 6/5 while loading faded no run @ all too
        Comment
        • Jellymancan
          SBR MVP
          • 03-09-20
          • 3695

          #5
          Yup. #1 Seaz sneaks out and nips the #6, goodbye ticket. Sigh.
          Comment
          • mrginandtonic
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-11-09
            • 7734

            #6
            Originally posted by Jellymancan
            Yup. #1 Seaz sneaks out and nips the #6, goodbye ticket. Sigh.
            I was surprised that there was no inquiry, 1 should have taken down for impeding the 4 in the stretch. Ridiculous!!
            Comment
            • Jellymancan
              SBR MVP
              • 03-09-20
              • 3695

              #7
              Debatable, but he did step right in front of #4, your're right. But, it didn't help that Paco didn't even try on that horse after it happened. He's absolutely infuriating to watch at times on his rides. Like he doesn't try to the line, some other jockeys get like that as well.
              Comment
              • mrginandtonic
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-11-09
                • 7734

                #8
                Originally posted by Jellymancan
                Debatable, but he did step right in front of #4, your're right. But, it didn't help that Paco didn't even try on that horse after it happened. He's absolutely infuriating to watch at times on his rides. Like he doesn't try to the line, some other jockeys get like that as well.
                I agree Paco should have tried, at least a little. But Saez is known for these dangerous rides..... brutal to watch
                Comment
                • Jellymancan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-09-20
                  • 3695

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                  I agree Paco should have tried, at least a little. But Saez is known for these dangerous rides..... brutal to watch
                  Reckless Luis at times. That's what pisses me off that nothing was called, because it was him doing it. Irad can be dangerous as well.
                  Comment
                  • Jellymancan
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-09-20
                    • 3695

                    #10
                    GP P6

                    1,4,5,6/2,6/3,4/1/1,6,7/1,6-8

                    Wanted to play more but will play some bigger bets later.
                    Comment
                    • Jellymancan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-09-20
                      • 3695

                      #11
                      GP R7

                      Mystery Bank Win Bet
                      Comment
                      • Jellymancan
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-09-20
                        • 3695

                        #12
                        GP R8

                        Forever Mo Win Bet
                        Comment
                        • mcmc
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-09-09
                          • 763

                          #13
                          GL Jellyman, I’m combing the Horse Racing thread for picks as I am starved for action.
                          Comment
                          • Jellymancan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-09-20
                            • 3695

                            #14
                            Damn. Oh well. Mo got slammed to late, 10-1 then 5-1 at the end. Morocco was the one that worried me.
                            Last edited by Jellymancan; 03-29-20, 03:58 PM.
                            Comment
                            • Jellymancan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-09-20
                              • 3695

                              #15
                              Just watched the replay of that race three times.Reyes really sucked there with #1 Forever Mo at times. I think he should have won if ridden right. Opinions if anyone watched that one? I'll remember this horse if non-stakes again and better jockey.
                              Comment
                              • Jellymancan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-09-20
                                • 3695

                                #16
                                GP R9

                                Navasha Win Bet
                                Comment
                                • Jellymancan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-09-20
                                  • 3695

                                  #17
                                  That race was done half way through.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jellymancan
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-09-20
                                    • 3695

                                    #18
                                    GP R10

                                    #2 Sconset Win Bet
                                    # 11- Power of Magic Win Bet

                                    Two longshots. I'm as cold as ice.....
                                    Comment
                                    • Jellymancan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-09-20
                                      • 3695

                                      #19
                                      GP P5

                                      Forgot to post this but....Reyes won't be getting a XMAS card from me this year....

                                      P5$0.50 2,6,10,12/3,4/1/1,7,8/6-8


                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Jellymancan
                                        Damn. Oh well. Mo got slammed to late, 10-1 then 5-1 at the end. Morocco was the one that worried me.
                                        Horse was loaded

                                        how about that 10-5/1 late


                                        only got $6.40 in thr middle
                                        Comment
                                        • Jellymancan
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-09-20
                                          • 3695

                                          #21
                                          It was gross. About 7k I estimated, could be off.

                                          I HATE betting Tapeka, but just hit $25 Exbox, with both of Wong's horses at GG. He's been hot, love him as a trainer out West. $670 , I'll take it. After losing pretty much all bets the past two days instead of being down -600, makes it +70. I'll take it.
                                          Last edited by Jellymancan; 03-29-20, 07:09 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #22
                                            He’ll yeah


                                            nice comeback


                                            my handle was like 4K yesterday I’m +$400

                                            only bet today was that #1 WP

                                            picked up like $240

                                            Wong hitting like 26%+
                                            Comment
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