Singgooner's Graded Cracker - Sunday 19th Jan

[singgooner]

Hi,

40th La Canada Stakes 4yo fillies only US$200k 1m110y Grade 2

Fiftyshadesofhay

Bob Baffert and Mike Smith did the business yesterday and I think they will get the double up today.

Pushed for time - but really like this horse's profile - has the best late pace to get up the Santa Anita stretch.

So go large or go home !

I am having a WIN bet on this one.

If I see anything else I like on the other races - will post up later

Happy punting

[mrginandtonic]

I really like Fifty also, but what do you think of Broken Sword?? Will she get an easy lead up front?? Fifty has the class for sure and Broken will be tested for that. On paper it looks Broken will get the lead that she wants, just like the last two races that she won. Will Mike press her?? Or will Baffert's other horse keep the pressure on instead?? This is a very interesting race IMO. I think Fifty is the most likely winner, but if the pace gets push hot, I like Mandella's horse, Spellbound @ ML 8-1. What are your thoughts??

[singgooner]

One more today for me - and I will be giving it large in the WIN pool

TAMPA BAY DOWNS RACE 5
1 SPINTASTIC

Raced twice over the specialist distance of 7f - won a race and was runner up

When it won its Churchill Downs 7f race on 15th Nov 2013 - it was the fastest speed figure at 7f - any of the field has recorded.

Now drops from Gulfstream Claimer 16k company into Tampa Bay "inferior" Claimer 8k company - the horse should have the class to beat the field at a specialist distance that it likes.

As I always say - GO LARGE or GO HOME !

Good luck - may all your bets be winning ones !

[AndTheyreOff]

I've been on the losing side of Mike Smith way too many times. Mike Smith dominates.

[AndTheyreOff]

singgooner do you still think theres value in pounding SPINTASTER at 8/5?

[singgooner]

@ AndThey'reOff - hi mate - I can only see the front 2 winning - Lookout Light coming off a calder 7f win and the other coming from the stronger quality Gulfstream population.

As I say, SPINTASTIC - Raced twice over the specialist distance of 7f - won a race and was runner up and scored the highest preformance of the whole field over this distance - so it could be point and shoot with the whip waved up the stretch to get the beast on the line first.

at the moment 3/2 is good odds - for what I thought would be a 4/5f shot - I am on WIN bet on UK Betfair site at 2.14 - which is a little under 2.5 on the American PMU - but I think the odds will go down to EVENS (2.0) when the gates crash open.

[singgooner]

apologies about that - sunk without trace

[Madison]

Horse looked empty after 38ths or so. At least you'd like to get a run. That was disappointing.

[Madison]

Fiftyshadesofhay ... This one have some bottom to her?

[AndTheyreOff]

I'm pounding it