BGboothA's BC Saturday Thoughts

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  • BGboothA
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-08
    • 4202

    #1
    BGboothA's BC Saturday Thoughts
    Well didn't have a great Friday, but enough to come back and have a full bankroll for tomorrow. Looking at some nice prices in some races.

    Race 4 = I will be following the Europeans here to win and maybe play a couple late runners to fill in the verticals.
    #3 GEORGE VANCOUVER
    #6 DUNDONNELL
    #2 ARTIGINIO
    _____________________
    #8 BALANCE THE BOOKS
    #9 NOBLE TUNE


    Race 5 = Love this race, I really see DUST AND DIAMONDS wiring this field without much pressure. Hopefully GROUPIE DOLL pulls in a bunch of money and D.A.D came come with a price.
    #3 DUST AND DIAMONDS
    #9 GROUPIE DOLL
    #8 MUSICAL ROMANCE
    #10 SWITCH (nice price, like this horse to fill in verticals)
    #6 TURBULENT DESCENT


    Race 6 = This is SHACKLEFORDs race, no doubt. This is the race he has been pointing to and wants to end his career in the winners circle. But I will be looking for a price.
    #5 FED BIZ
    #6 SHACKLEFORD
    #7 EMCEE
    #4 JOHN SCOTT


    Race 7 = Man I love this Downhill course. Something about it always makes for a fun race. And I am really pointing here for my score this weekend.
    #12 CHOSEN MIRACLE
    #1 CALIFORNIA FLAG
    #13 UNBRIDLES NOTE
    #16 STARTSPANGLEDHEAT
    #8 GREAT ATTACK


    Race 8 = Not too sure about this race. SHANGHAI BOBBY will take the money, but the trip may have taken something out of him. Again, looking for some prices here.
    #9 POWER BROKER
    #6 DYNAMIC SKY
    #4 SHANGHAI BOBBY
    #8 FORTIFY


    Race 9 = Another race that I will be following the Euro's and then looking for an American price to fill in the late.
    #12 TRAILBLAZER
    #5 SHARETA
    #3 ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
    #1 POINT OF ENTRY
    ________________________
    #8 KINDERGARDEN KID


    Race 10 = Ok, I am a sucker. TRINNIBERG has made me so much money early last year and into the summer. He hasn't done much lately, but the pace here may set him up for his first 6f win.
    #9 TRINNIBERG
    #11 AMAZOMBIE
    #6 FAST BULLET
    #4 COIL


    Race 11 = Single EXCELEBRATION and move on.
    #6 EXCELEBRATION
    #2 WISE DAN
    #3 OBVIOUSLY
    #5 ANIMAL KINGDOM


    Race 12 = Ohh the Classic. I am going to try to beat GAME ON DUDE here, but I think he is the best and should win. Will be watching the price here.
    #5 GAME ON DUDE
    #11 MUCHO MACHO MAN
    #8 NONIOS
    #4 FORT LARNED
    #10 RON THE GREEK


    Tomorrow, I will be playing Key Trifecta 1/4/4, 4/1/4, 4/4/1 and rolling pick 3 and maybe some Doubles.

    Good luck boys and girls.
  • mikemca
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-10
    • 10047

    #2
    A couple things to take with a grain of salt.

    1)Turbulent Descent has been working lights out.Is it good enough to beat Groupie Doll on her best, I dunno.
    2)Excelebration may not have traveled so well.Reports are he hasn't looked so well.Make what you want of it, he is lengths better than this field even at 90%.
    3)Trinniberg looks good
    Comment
    • BGboothA
      SBR MVP
      • 08-07-08
      • 4202

      #3
      Originally posted by mikemca
      A couple things to take with a grain of salt.

      1)Turbulent Descent has been working lights out.Is it good enough to beat Groupie Doll on her best, I dunno.
      2)Excelebration may not have traveled so well.Reports are he hasn't looked so well.Make what you want of it, he is lengths better than this field even at 90%.
      3)Trinniberg looks good
      Awesome info. I will take any info possible.
      Comment
      • bbaffert
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-18-09
        • 34

        #4
        I hope you do not mind, not a lot of people into ponies as much as I am so I took what you put and am going to go through it and add some things that I found/think. I appreciate having a strong capper here.

        Race 4 = I will be following the Europeans here to win and maybe play a couple late runners to fill in the verticals.

        #3 GEORGE VANCOUVER
        #6 DUNDONNELL
        #2 ARTIGINIO
        _____________________
        #8 BALANCE THE BOOKS
        #9 NOBLE TUNE

        My thoughts - Surely the euros here. I wonder what you think about the pace, I worry that Joha might just steal it? Either way, George Vancouver looks good, same connections won this race last year and solid 8-1 odds. My top 3 are basically your top three but I do worry about Joha.


        Race 5 = Love this race, I really see DUST AND DIAMONDS wiring this field without much pressure. Hopefully GROUPIE DOLL pulls in a bunch of money and D.A.D came come with a price.
        #3 DUST AND DIAMONDS
        #9 GROUPIE DOLL
        #8 MUSICAL ROMANCE
        #10 SWITCH (nice price, like this horse to fill in verticals)
        #6 TURBULENT DESCENT

        My thoughts - When capping I also wrote down the 8,3,9 as contenders. I think if anyone beats Groupie Doll it will have to be the 3 or 8. My concern with DAD is her class and I could see Rumor pushing the pace and messing her up. Tricky race.


        Race 6 = This is SHACKLEFORDs race, no doubt. This is the race he has been pointing to and wants to end his career in the winners circle. But I will be looking for a price.
        #5 FED BIZ
        #6 SHACKLEFORD
        #7 EMCEE
        #4 JOHN SCOTT

        My thoughts - Agree with what you said but I worry about the pace. At the 2nd call just about every one of these wants to be on the lead. Fed Biz loves SA and Emcee might get a dream trip. Odds decide the pick.


        Race 7 = Man I love this Downhill course. Something about it always makes for a fun race. And I am really pointing here for my score this weekend.
        #12 CHOSEN MIRACLE
        #1 CALIFORNIA FLAG
        #13 UNBRIDLES NOTE
        #16 STARTSPANGLEDHEAT
        #8 GREAT ATTACK

        My thoughts - Tough race. I am on #14 Starspangledbanner. 10-1 ML will go up. If he can find any of his old form with the addition of lasix he can beat these. I do like Unbridleds Note also.

        Race 8 = Not too sure about this race. SHANGHAI BOBBY will take the money, but the trip may have taken something out of him. Again, looking for some prices here.
        #9 POWER BROKER
        #6 DYNAMIC SKY
        #4 SHANGHAI BOBBY
        #8 FORTIFY

        My thoughts - Seems you have a solid pick. I do wonder how high Baffert is on #1 Title contender moving him from a Md to the Breeders Cup. Would not suprise me but would have to be 8-1 or more.


        Race 9 = Another race that I will be following the Euro's and then looking for an American price to fill in the late.
        #12 TRAILBLAZER
        #5 SHARETA
        #3 ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
        #1 POINT OF ENTRY
        ________________________
        #8 KINDERGARDEN KID

        My thoughts - #3 S.N.Abbey won the race last year off similar preps and I am very interested in your top pick.

        Race 10 = Ok, I am a sucker. TRINNIBERG has made me so much money early last year and into the summer. He hasn't done much lately, but the pace here may set him up for his first 6f win.
        #9 TRINNIBERG
        #11 AMAZOMBIE
        #6 FAST BULLET
        #4 COIL

        My thoughts - Maybe the hardest of the day. I have a hard time ruling out half the field. I lean to #6 Fast Bullet. Baffert brings him back off a year layoff and puts him straight into the Breeders Cup. He would not do that if he did not KNOW he has a special horse here. Fast works, Zayat Stables, 12-1, I like it.

        Race 11 = Single EXCELEBRATION and move on.
        #6 EXCELEBRATION
        #2 WISE DAN
        #3 OBVIOUSLY
        #5 ANIMAL KINGDOM

        My thoughts - Yeah, if your only losses are to Frankel you get my vote.

        Race 12 = Ohh the Classic. I am going to try to beat GAME ON DUDE here, but I think he is the best and should win. Will be watching the price here.
        #5 GAME ON DUDE
        #11 MUCHO MACHO MAN
        #8 NONIOS
        #4 FORT LARNED
        #10 RON THE GREEK

        My thoughts - Game on Dude with a side of To Honor and Serve.
        Comment
        • mikemca
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-10-10
          • 10047

          #5
          Originally posted by BGboothA
          Awesome info. I will take any info possible.
          Yeah and thinking about it a little more I wouldn't put too much stock in Excelebration looking like shyt.Euros often look scrawny compared to our horses.Goldikova looked like a rat.
          Comment
          • floridagolfer
            SBR MVP
            • 12-19-08
            • 2757

            #6
            On paper, there appears to be some great racing on tap today. Let's hope for a safe day and a PROFITABLE one, too! I went to the jai alai fronton this morning and have all my bets made. I'll be watching from the comfort of my recliner with a couple of cold ones not too far away.

            Good luck to everyone!
            Comment
            • BGboothA
              SBR MVP
              • 08-07-08
              • 4202

              #7
              Originally posted by bbaffert
              I hope you do not mind, not a lot of people into ponies as much as I am so I took what you put and am going to go through it and add some things that I found/think. I appreciate having a strong capper here.
              Don't mind at all, the more the better IMO. Looking forward to today. I basically broke even yesterday finishing 20 down after nearly 300 in tickets. Ready to hit a couple today.

              Trying to formulate my P3 and P4s now.

              Probably won't take a shot at the P6 today. Unless I throw togethter a $12 ticket or something just for fun.
              Comment
              • NoFear
                SBR Rookie
                • 02-27-12
                • 25

                #8
                Great thread guys. Keep the info coming.

                My 2 cents - St Nicholas Abbey seems like a risky bet to me. Adien OBriens horses didnt do well yesterday and found the ground/conditions unsuitable it seemed. Favorite Fame and Glory simply refused to race. And other euro horses didnt adapt either. The fugue and company.

                Surely this benefits POINT OF ENTRY immensely.

                I have big money on SNA and now having second thoughts.

                What are your thoughts on this? You think POINT OF ENTRY will get the better of SNA from a better draw.
                Comment
                • bbaffert
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-18-09
                  • 34

                  #9
                  If the public does not start betting on the 2 and 3 in this race number 2 at Santa Anita they will be solid overlays. I feel good about the chances of one of them winning.
                  Comment
                  • mikemca
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-10-10
                    • 10047

                    #10
                    Originally posted by NoFear
                    Great thread guys. Keep the info coming.

                    My 2 cents - St Nicholas Abbey seems like a risky bet to me. Adien OBriens horses didnt do well yesterday and found the ground/conditions unsuitable it seemed. Favorite Fame and Glory simply refused to race. And other euro horses didnt adapt either. The fugue and company.

                    Surely this benefits POINT OF ENTRY immensely.

                    I have big money on SNA and now having second thoughts.

                    What are your thoughts on this? You think POINT OF ENTRY will get the better of SNA from a better draw.

                    The Fugue got boxed in until it was too late.Point Of Entry is a beast but he definitely isn't a cinch.I think SNA,Shareta,Trailblazer are all legitimate threats.
                    Comment
                    • NoFear
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 02-27-12
                      • 25

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mikemca
                      The Fugue got boxed in until it was too late.Point Of Entry is a beast but he definitely isn't a cinch.I think SNA,Shareta,Trailblazer are all legitimate threats.
                      The fugue was a bad example (it was an error on the jockeys part). But what about the rest of the euros.
                      Comment
                      • bbaffert
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 03-18-09
                        • 34

                        #12
                        I am betting the euros. I always do and they have not let me down yet. You do make a good point though.
                        Comment
                        • floridagolfer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-19-08
                          • 2757

                          #13
                          According to my local TV listings, network coverage of today's races does not include the fourth race at SA: the BC Juvenile Turf. Can this possibly be right?
                          Comment
                          • BGboothA
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-07-08
                            • 4202

                            #14
                            I thought the Euro's did pretty well. The Fugue woudl have won if he had room. The other Euro's faired about as well as we had thought.
                            Comment
                            • bbaffert
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 03-18-09
                              • 34

                              #15
                              Good win for George V. $20.60, so no worries on the euros although this one had proven himself in the US before.
                              Comment
                              • BGboothA
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-07-08
                                • 4202

                                #16
                                NOthing like starting my day with a 500 trifecta!!!

                                ANd a 20 winner home in the first leg of the pick4
                                Comment
                                • NoFear
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 02-27-12
                                  • 25

                                  #17
                                  congrats guys.

                                  i m sticking with sn abbey. think shareta will get beaten by it since shareta is the only one without lasix in the race and may prove disadvantageous. only danger seems to be POINT OF ENTRY.
                                  Comment
                                  • aggieshawn
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-24-07
                                    • 4377

                                    #18
                                    I take your George Vancouver, to my GRUOPIE DOLL to all to 9 horses.


                                    Just hope to get one more longshot..


                                    THANKS BG FOR GEORGE VANCOUVER.....

                                    Comment
                                    • BGboothA
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-07-08
                                      • 4202

                                      #19
                                      Glad someone else hti it...nice work.

                                      Here comes Fed Biz baby!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • NoFear
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 02-27-12
                                        • 25

                                        #20
                                        i m on emcee for the next one.
                                        Comment
                                        • aggieshawn
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-24-07
                                          • 4377

                                          #21
                                          So I really dont like Tapizar and MizDirection. I bet my picks 3 etc and over look these ones. What the odds and the anouncers.

                                          Hedge $40 to win on both... Wow.. bad capper equals good luck.. Cash way up over the pick 3 would have paid.
                                          Comment
                                          • BGboothA
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-07-08
                                            • 4202

                                            #22
                                            Nice work, hit the first two races really well with two trifectas. I will end the day and weekend up thanks to that, but I would really like to hit another one of these today.

                                            Waiting for Trinniberg to pay me off
                                            Comment
                                            • aggieshawn
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-24-07
                                              • 4377

                                              #23
                                              Rosie on Bobby, She is more exhausted then the horse...
                                              Comment
                                              • aggieshawn
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-24-07
                                                • 4377

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BGboothA
                                                Nice work, hit the first two races really well with two trifectas. I will end the day and weekend up thanks to that, but I would really like to hit another one of these today.

                                                Waiting for Trinniberg to pay me off

                                                I dont like Trinny.... I wish all bad luck...
                                                Comment
                                                • BGboothA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-07-08
                                                  • 4202

                                                  #25
                                                  Well lets get KinderGarden Kid coming into my Trifecta from the back!!!

                                                  Sitting @ 38-1 right now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BGboothA
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-07-08
                                                    • 4202

                                                    #26
                                                    Fuc Me

                                                    I hit trinniberg, but was playing trifecta's and didn't have the 10 SMILING TIGER in it.

                                                    Called the 13-1 Winner and don't cash a ticket...

                                                    Here is hoping we can bring home the pick3
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aggieshawn
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-24-07
                                                      • 4377

                                                      #27
                                                      QUOTE=BGboothA;16632342]Fuc Me

                                                      I hit trinniberg, but was playing trifecta's and didn't have the 10 SMILING TIGER in it.

                                                      Called the 13-1 Winner and don't cash a ticket...



                                                      I said I didnt like Trinny.. but you are making me money.. So I bet a bunch of win 3s last second I key Trinny in one ticket and bet $20 win... Up for the Race.

                                                      However, LIke Mike ran over a million dollars of mine.. that one is my killer for the day. Point of Entry wins. golden..


                                                      Here is hoping we can bring home the pick3[/QUOTE]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • aggieshawn
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-24-07
                                                        • 4377

                                                        #28
                                                        Bg what is your bet for the feature.?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BGboothA
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-07-08
                                                          • 4202

                                                          #29
                                                          Right now I have:

                                                          A Trifecta Key
                                                          11 / 4,5,8,10 / 4,5,8,10
                                                          4,5,8,10 / 11 / 4,5,8,10
                                                          4,5,8,10 / 4,5,8,10 / 11

                                                          And then I will be looking at the some prices of

                                                          I have my pick 3 going 5 deep if Excelebration wins this next race
                                                          Comment
                                                          • aggieshawn
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-24-07
                                                            • 4377

                                                            #30
                                                            Mucho Mucho Man....
                                                            I am all in on Game On Dude..

                                                            I bet $2k on the 9 last race to loss.. Golden..

                                                            I did have a $20 ex 2-5 for the SBR contest .. maybe in the money now...?/ nope..



                                                            GAME ON DUDE....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BGboothA
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-07-08
                                                              • 4202

                                                              #31
                                                              YEah I will win the SBR contest easily I think, unless something crazy happens...

                                                              Just frustrated today....so many close calls.

                                                              Ohh well, the grind starts again tommorrow.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BGboothA
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-07-08
                                                                • 4202

                                                                #32
                                                                Aggie, where are you playing horses to lose??
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nvrlose37
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-01-12
                                                                  • 2730

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Fort Larned! Lets go!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BGboothA
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-07-08
                                                                    • 4202

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Such a frustrating day....missed the bottom end of two big trifectas.

                                                                    Nothing like getting in your own way after hours and hours of handicapping
                                                                    Comment
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