how do you guys cap your games?

[nammertl]

or if you cap them at all? I find that when i look up statistics, there's always something in the numbers that shows how the game will turn out but I always overlook it and when i go back i see it staring it right at me in the face. like the washington/caro game today i knew washington would win, and in my capping it showed that they were 7-2 at hitting the Under and yet my gut was to bet the over.

On the other side, I thought the pitt/tb game was going to go under but I didn't catch on to the fact that tampa bay is hitting overs like 90% of the time right now. Sometimes I go against my instincts and i miss a play.

Does anyone here have a complex system of capping? How much time do you spend capping?

[leafs_ducks]

i used to spend hours looking at numbers and team reports and watch the standings and such (division games, ect.) how goalies has fare and alot of other things... but nowadays i don't have the time to spend hours crunching the numbers, maybe that is why i'm down 8units on the season. lol..

[DennisGreen]

It's tough. I use past results, stats, gut, trends etc. Really is a combination of things you gotta use. Trust your first instinct that is the most important thing. If you really like a play hammer it, don't be swayed by other cappers and other useless stats such as The Ducks are 13-1 on Tuesdays during leap years etc

[Damian82]

I tend to keep it simple and follow my gut. When it comes to Hockey, I wouldn't waste my time with trying to over analyze and decipher every single match up. Follow a few important stats/trends ie; starting goalies/GF/GA/road and home record/winning and losing streaks/injuries/Schedule; is the team coming of a big road trip; are they starting a big home stand etc....etc...Some teams are simply due for a win, like Montreal against the Rangers just a couple of hours ago. This one had upset written all over it. I didn't pick Montreal but I didn't pick the Rangers either. I simply stayed away from picking that game because it was too risky for me.

[HNIC]

For games I usually watch how certain teams are playing and try to factor in travel and fatigue. For over/unders I use a pure mathematical approach. This is a good site to download updated stats in excel: http://www.cappersconnect.com/nhl/nhl-super-stats.html

[hockey216]

experience. u can research stats all you want. but personally, i think there is NO substitute for intimate knowledge of the league. just comes down to how much hockey you watch. and im not talking watch highlights or sportscenter. i am talking about watching games IN THEIR ENTIRETY. its impossible unless u have nhl center ice package. watch 2games every night all season long. lot of times score doesnt reflect way the game was played. Teams can get dominated all game in puck posession/chances, but still win if goalie has hot game or if they get enough powerplay chances.

I really believe you learn so much more about hockey by watching full entire games every night. reading stats or watching a 20second sportscenter clip wont tell you how the game was played. if you want to know more about hockey than the oddsmakers, you better start watching it.

once you know league very well it's somewhat easier to get an idea in your head of what the line should be like. then you can compare your opinion of line with what vegas has. most of time vegas is pretty good with their lines. but not always.