My NHL Regular Season betting is finished

[cobra_king]

Over the last few years, my statistics show that i do not do very well the first month of the season, and horribly from the trade deadline until the end of the regular season. Since i almost exclusively try to play value orientated underdogs, i attribute my early season woes to not having a good line on teams yet and what each teams true win percentage is in each game compared to the odds being offered. As for the last month of the season i believe that after the trade deadline, teams that see their management throw in the towel, basically give up themselves; and since i'm generally on the inferior teams, this proves to be disastrous for me. My numbers this year during the heart of the season were very accurate and the last two months i had a phenomenal run. I don't have as much confidence now in my ability to accurately predict each teams true win % compared to the odds given as teams begin to play out the string. So instead of fighting this uphill battle, i'm just going to shut it down until the playoffs start.

Now saying all this, do others here who have played hockey for years notice the same thing come late in the season? Or are you able to adjust your numbers accordingly and profit from this time of the year?

[pat venditto]

good luck in the future

[rake922]

how'd you do?

[Stumpage]

Talk about getting out while you're hot. Not many would do that, Cobra.....

Looking forward to following your picks from Day01 next season, which believe me, I will be doing.....

[cobra_king]

Thanks Pat and Stumpage

On SBR posted picks that xxx tracked, i'll end up at around +110 units, playing every game at 5 units. And my numbers come in very similiar to these. I finished off my run on monday night with two upset winners in Philly and Toronto so it was a nice way to go out. I do wish i had more faith in my ability late in the season as there is still alot of hockey left to be played. I will continue to track my plays, just without any bets or posts to see if can figure out this late season hockey.

Good luck the rest of you guys here!

[SPECULATOR 13]

Cobra as stumpy said you are getting out while you are ahead,Congratulation!.
I should have done what you did on feb.15th i was than at 45-39(+6 ov.500) with break-ev.pts around 47% and that is coming off the point of extinction on nov.14th when i had only 22% of my original bkrll left.One never learn,since the 15th i have gone 0-4 and than won 1 last week,the pitts game vs mtl. and this week I AM AT 1-2 so far witch include last night bullsh*t with Atlanta,one never learns.(keep a eye on ATL. though,
I THINK they will be spoilers)
This as been a very strange betting year be it in the NFL or NHL,strangely enough both the touts and the wiseguys in Vegas as gotten beat up this year it seems that if you where a methodical wagerer nothing worked as it should this year however the seat off the pants square bettors have done well with their crazy bets.
I hope Cobra that will not stop posting your picks i have often when i was in doubt look into what you,LT, PLUSLINE and westsidepete have to say for inspiration,it would be a shame for me anyway if you stopped.Good luck old chum

[cobra_king]

Spec 13.

Thanks for the kind words. I'll still be around the hockey forum on a regular basis, just won't be posting picks in the best bet thread, or betting any straight up games for the rest of the year. (I still will bet the grand salami when i see value in that). I'll keep an eye out for your picks and chime in from time to time on them as well. Good luck to you!

[buztah]

cobra, your picks were hot, dog! They were HOT! Takes balls and discipline to cash out with a profit, pal. Kudos on a job very well done.

[cobra_king]

Thanks Buz

The discipline comes from years of playing the horses professionally. If i don't feel i have a handle on the changing landscape than i have no issues shutting down and using the time for research. Good luck to you the rest of the way forward.

[20Four7]

You pussy, get up 20 units in a week and bail. BTW well done, hopefully you'll sort out this late season mystery as the season still has legs. I do understand your early season mystery as I usually do not bet any football until the season is in week 5. Any bets that I do make are a fraction of what I bet during the season.

I also think players give up when they see they have no hope to win. The exception may be the leafs this year as everyone who didn't waive the no trade clause has something to prove.