Check out Monday's best value NHL props, courtesy of SBR's Neil Parker:
Chris Kreider Under 0.5 points (+112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
"I’m eyeing statistical correction to Kreider’s scorching start to this series. He’s scored five goals despite registering just 1.45 individual expected goals, and his 55.6 shooting percentage this series is beyond unsustainably high.
Four of Kreider's five tallies have come with the man advantage, and he hasn’t shined at five-on-five with just six shot attempts, a 40.0 Corsi For percentage, and 111.1 PDO – another metric set for steep negative regression.
The Devils are also averaging the most shorthanded time per game during the postseason, so I’m anticipating them attempting to play a more disciplined game Monday. Fewer power-play opportunities will cut into Kreider’s potential to mark the scoresheet.
There’s only a slight edge to the numbers available via our best sports betting sites. Additionally, while a statistical correction is ahead, it often plays out over a couple of games. That’s why I’ve listed this bet with a two-star grade and not three."
Team total: Devils Over 2.5 goals (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
"New York netminder Igor Shesterkin entered the postseason in peak form, and he has turned away 76 of 80 shots for a .950 save percentage through the first three games of Round 1.
The Devils have scored only one five-on-five goal (0.41 per 60 minutes) with a 1.5 team shooting percentage. New Jersey ranked fifth in five-on-five goals per 60 minutes (2.79) with an 8.7 shooting percentage during the regular season.
It all adds up to the puck luck turning in the Devils' favor in Game 4.
First, it’s worth noting PointsBet has the New Jersey goal total set at 3.0 (+120), so that’s an option for betters. I’m just more confident in the Over 2.5 goals given how well Shesterkin has played.
For reference, the difference in the -118 number and -135 price is a positive expected value of 6% and an added profit of $1.07 on a winning $10 dollar ticket."
NHL picks made 4/24/2023 at 11:30 a.m. ET.
Monday's best NHL sportsbook promos and odds boosts:
DraftKings - max bet $25:
Caesars - max bet $50, min odds -200:
What's your favorite play on the NHL card tonight?
Chris Kreider Under 0.5 points (+112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
"I’m eyeing statistical correction to Kreider’s scorching start to this series. He’s scored five goals despite registering just 1.45 individual expected goals, and his 55.6 shooting percentage this series is beyond unsustainably high.
Four of Kreider's five tallies have come with the man advantage, and he hasn’t shined at five-on-five with just six shot attempts, a 40.0 Corsi For percentage, and 111.1 PDO – another metric set for steep negative regression.
The Devils are also averaging the most shorthanded time per game during the postseason, so I’m anticipating them attempting to play a more disciplined game Monday. Fewer power-play opportunities will cut into Kreider’s potential to mark the scoresheet.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| +110 | +112 | +110 | N/A | +110 |
Team total: Devils Over 2.5 goals (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
"New York netminder Igor Shesterkin entered the postseason in peak form, and he has turned away 76 of 80 shots for a .950 save percentage through the first three games of Round 1.
The Devils have scored only one five-on-five goal (0.41 per 60 minutes) with a 1.5 team shooting percentage. New Jersey ranked fifth in five-on-five goals per 60 minutes (2.79) with an 8.7 shooting percentage during the regular season.
It all adds up to the puck luck turning in the Devils' favor in Game 4.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| -135 | -118 | -125 | -125 | N/A |
For reference, the difference in the -118 number and -135 price is a positive expected value of 6% and an added profit of $1.07 on a winning $10 dollar ticket."
NHL picks made 4/24/2023 at 11:30 a.m. ET.
Monday's best NHL sportsbook promos and odds boosts:
DraftKings - max bet $25:
Caesars - max bet $50, min odds -200:
What's your favorite play on the NHL card tonight?