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1. ## NHL System Picks 2021 by Professor MJ

Hello hockey fans!

I'm a statistics University professor from Canada, and I love to help fellow sports investors grow their bankrolls!

After analyzing data on several full NHL seasons, I have developed 10 winning betting systems.

Those strategies are all in accodance with my contrarian approach, except a single one.

I posted my NHL system picks last year (we won 18.79 units via 421 bets), and I will do it again starting from today.

We'll keep track of the record. We will be RISKING 1 unit on each play. Sounds good?

Let's get the party started!

Today's pick of the day (odds from Sports Interaction at 2:39 PM Eastern Time):

Nashville Predators (at +180 odds, or 2.80 in decimal) at Carolina Hurricanes

This pick is based on "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a road team coming 1 or straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins.

This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 66.87-unit profit over 483 plays (a 13.8% ROI).

Let's get off to a good start!

Professor MJ

2. Good Luck Prof.

\$20
Angelman
donation 02/15/2021

3. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 10

We came close from hitting our big underdog pick yesterday! The Predators took a 2-0 lead in the second period, but could not hold on and ended up losing in overtime. Still, it turned out to be a good pick, nonetheless.

RECORD:
Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 1
Profit = -1 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 9:04 am Eastern Time):

Minnesota Wild (@ +110 odds) vs Golden Knights

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet AGAINST a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Make the bet only if the team you are betting has a money line that's better than -150 (i.e. 1.667 in decimal). This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 87.34-unit gain on 1045 bets (a 8.4% ROI).

In Vegas' last game, they had their 6 game winning streak snapped by Minnesota when they lost 2-0.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

4. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 11

Hit the Minnesota Wild pick yesterday to bring us back to 1-1 and up 0.1u.

RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 1
Profit = +0.1 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 8:37 am Eastern Time):

Buffalo Sabres (at +175) vs Pittsburgh

This pick is based on two betting systems – the one I like the most is "The Hot Scorers" system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games (not necessarily wins). FADE them if they are playing on the road today.

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 45.08-unit profit over 332 bets (a 13.6% ROI).

The Penguins have scored 4, 5 and 4 goals in their past three contests, respectively so we are betting against them.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

5. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 12

Missed the Buffalo pick yesterday to bring us down to 1-2 and down 0.9u.

RECORD:

Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 2
Profit = -0.9 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 9:15 am Eastern Time):

Anaheim (+110) vs Sharks

This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.

This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI).

The Ducks have allowed 5 goals in each of their past two contests, respectively so we are betting them.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

6. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 13

Anaheim laid an egg yesterday which brought us down to 1-3 and down 1.9u. But I’ve been doing this for a long time and unfazed.

RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -1.9 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Bet365 at 10:30 am Eastern Time):
Columbus (+125) vs Dallas

This pick is based on a couple of my NHL betting systems including "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI)
The Blue Jackets have allowed 5 and 4 goals in each of their past two contests, respectively so we are betting them.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

7. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
NHL PICK FOR MARCH 13

Anaheim laid an egg yesterday which brought us down to 1-3 and down 1.9u. But I’ve been doing this for a long time and unfazed.

RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -1.9 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Bet365 at 10:30 am Eastern Time):
Columbus (+125) vs Dallas

This pick is based on a couple of my NHL betting systems including "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI)
The Blue Jackets have allowed 5 and 4 goals in each of their past two contests, respectively so we are betting them.

Good luck!
Professor MJ
Good Hit.. I missed this one early.. I will have to remember this one.

8. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 14

The Blue Jackets came through yesterday with an upset over the Stars to put us back on track!

RECORD:
Bets won = 2
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -0.65 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 10:30 am Eastern Time):

Arizona (+180) vs Minnesota

This pick is based on a couple of my NHL betting systems including "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has lost its past two games, while scoring at most 3 goals in each of those defeats. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line that is better than -125 (i.e. 1.80 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 90.53-unit profit over 1656 bets (a 5.5% ROI).

The Coyotes have scored 0, 1 and 2 goals in each of their past three contests, respectively so we are betting them.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

9. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 15

The Coyotes were able to score first but fell apart after that. Let’s get back on track with Boston!

RECORD:

Bets won = 2

Bets lost = 4

Profit = -1.65 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 10:00 pm Eastern Time):

Boston (-115) at Pittsburgh

This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has won its past 3 games, while allowing a maximum of 3 goals in each of those victories. If they are at home today, bet AGAINST them (provided that the road team's money line is better than -135, or 1.74 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 63.88-unit gain over 933 wagers (a 6.8% ROI).

The Penguins have allowed 0, 2 and 2 goals in each of their past three contests, respectively so we are betting against them.

Good luck!
Professor MJ
Points Awarded:
 tmw360 gave Prof.MJ 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

10. Professor MJ I appreciate you putting this info out, as I just saw this forum and will start following system.

Best of luck and thanks

11. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 16

If at first we don’t succeed, try again! We’re going back to Boston for this one.

RECORD:

Bets won = 2

Bets lost = 5

Profit = -2.65 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 10:00 am Eastern Time):

Boston (+100) at Pittsburgh

This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has won its past 3 games, while allowing a maximum of 3 goals in each of those victories. If they are at home today, bet AGAINST them (provided that the road team's money line is better than -135, or 1.74 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 63.88-unit gain over 933 wagers (a 6.8% ROI).

The Penguins have allowed 1, 0 and 2 goals in each of their past three contests, respectively so we are betting against them.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

12. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
NHL PICK FOR MARCH 16

If at first we don’t succeed, try again! We’re going back to Boston for this one.

RECORD:

Bets won = 2

Bets lost = 5

Profit = -2.65 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 10:00 am Eastern Time):

Boston (+100) at Pittsburgh

This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has won its past 3 games, while allowing a maximum of 3 goals in each of those victories. If they are at home today, bet AGAINST them (provided that the road team's money line is better than -135, or 1.74 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 63.88-unit gain over 933 wagers (a 6.8% ROI).

The Penguins have allowed 1, 0 and 2 goals in each of their past three contests, respectively so we are betting against them.

Good luck!

Professor MJ
I'm tailing your system throughout the season so best of luck and thanks

13. Awesome call on Boston I like your system plays 👍

14. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 17

It’s nice to be in the winning side of a bet again, let’s hope we start a streak!

RECORD:
Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -1.65 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10bet at 9:00 am Eastern Time):

Edmonton (+110) at Calgary

This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has lost its past two games, while scoring at most 3 goals in each of those defeats. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line that is better than -125 (i.e. 1.80 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 90.53-unit profit over 1656 bets (a 5.5% ROI).

The Oilers have scored 3 and 1 goals in each of their past two contests, respectively so we are betting them.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

15. Truthfully, its been a slow start but for a long term bettor, we've all experienced peaks and valleys. The important thing is that we see light at the end of the tunnel. I'll continue to post daily picks - tail or fade, but either way I wish you the best of luck!

16. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
Truthfully, its been a slow start but for a long term bettor, we've all experienced peaks and valleys. The important thing is that we see light at the end of the tunnel. I'll continue to post daily picks - tail or fade, but either way I wish you the best of luck!
I'm definite tailing I like this system of yours and I can tell you put some hard work and effort into it I thank you for posting the best of luck to you

17. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 18

Really happy about winning our 2nd pick in a row. Looking to get in the black today with another underdog pick.
RECORD:
Bets won = 4
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -0.55 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Sports Interaction at 12:00 pm Eastern Time):
Nashville (+205) at Florida
This pick is based on "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet a road team coming 1 or straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins.
This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 66.87-unit profit over 483 plays (a 13.8% ROI).

The Panthers have won 4 straight and Nashville is coming off of a win as well so we’re going to be taking Nashville!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

18. No NHL picks for March 19th as none of the games meeting the criteria for any of my systems.
It was great hitting our +205 underdog yesterday. That's now 3 underdog wins in a row!

RECORD:
Bets won = 5
Bets lost = 5
Profit = +1.5 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

19. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
No NHL picks for March 19th as none of the games meeting the criteria for any of my systems.
It was great hitting our +205 underdog yesterday. That's now 3 underdog wins in a row!

RECORD:
Bets won = 5
Bets lost = 5
Profit = +1.5 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
So Far so good Prof MJ I'll check in tomorrow for updates on picks, I thank you

20. Nice hit yesterday Prof!

\$20
Angelman
donation 02/15/2021

21. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 20

We’ve won 3 underdog picks in a row and have moved ourselves back into the black.

RECORD:
Bets won = 5
Bets lost = 5
Profit = +1.5 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 9:51 am Eastern Time):

New York Rangers (+128) at Washington Capitals

This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has won its past 3 games, while allowing a maximum of 3 goals in each of those victories. If they are at home today, bet AGAINST them (provided that the road team's money line is better than -135, or 1.74 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 63.88-unit gain over 933 wagers (a 6.8% ROI).
The Capitals have allowed just 2 goals in total over their last 3 games so we’ll be taking the Rangers!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

22. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 21

4 straight underdog wins have us on a great roll and we’ll look to keep that momentum with the Panthers today!

RECORD:

Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 5
Profit = +2.78 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Thank you for all the kind PMs, I’m glad that I’ve been able to help several of you make some money this past week!

Today's pick of the day (odds from Bet365 at 11:50 am Eastern Time):

Florida Panthers (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning

This pick is based on "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a road team coming 1 or straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins.

This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 66.87-unit profit over 483 plays (a 13.8% ROI).

Lightning have 3 straight wins and the Panthers are coming off of a win of their own so we’ll be betting the Panthers!

Good luck!

Professor MJ

23. Thanks and congrats love your system prof mj

24. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 22

All good things must come to an end. Alas, our 4 game underdog streak ended when the Panthers fell to the Lightning. But now we can just start a new streak!

RECORD:
Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 6
Profit = +1.78 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 9:49 am Eastern Time):

St. Louis (+135) at Vegas (also saw +132 at Fanduel for our American friends)

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet AGAINST a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Make the bet only if the team you are betting has a money line that's better than -150 (i.e. 1.667 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 87.34-unit gain on 1045 bets (a 8.4% ROI).
Vegas had their winning streak snapped by the Kings last night so we’ll be taking the Blues!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

25. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
NHL PICK FOR MARCH 22

All good things must come to an end. Alas, our 4 game underdog streak ended when the Panthers fell to the Lightning. But now we can just start a new streak!

RECORD:
Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 6
Profit = +1.78 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from 10Bet at 9:49 am Eastern Time):

St. Louis (+135) at Vegas (also saw +132 at Fanduel for our American friends)

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet AGAINST a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Make the bet only if the team you are betting has a money line that's better than -150 (i.e. 1.667 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 87.34-unit gain on 1045 bets (a 8.4% ROI).
Vegas had their winning streak snapped by the Kings last night so we’ll be taking the Blues!

Good luck!
Professor MJ
Good luck mj I'm on the Blues and again thank you for the posts and information, the system and strategies are interesting and I will continue to follow your picks, have been extremely helpful to me.

26. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 23

The Blues fell flat which cost us our bet yesterday. On to the next one…

RECORD:
Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 7

Profit = +0.78 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 9:59 am Eastern Time):

Florida vs Chicago (+136)

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:
Bet a road team coming off 5+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off exactly one straight loss. Pull the trigger only if the road team's money line is better than +150 (i.e. 2.50 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 34.56-unit profit through 44 bets!

Chicago has lost 4 straight with Florida coming off of a recent loss – we’ll be betting Chicago!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

27. I'm on it and thanks

28. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
NHL PICK FOR MARCH 23

The Blues fell flat which cost us our bet yesterday. On to the next one…

RECORD:
Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 7

Profit = +0.78 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 9:59 am Eastern Time):

Florida vs Chicago (+136)

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:
Bet a road team coming off 5+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off exactly one straight loss. Pull the trigger only if the road team's money line is better than +150 (i.e. 2.50 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 34.56-unit profit through 44 bets!

Chicago has lost 4 straight with Florida coming off of a recent loss – we’ll be betting Chicago!

Good luck!
Professor MJ
But Chicago is the home team

29. well luckily for me I won with Chicago as at end it said "we'll be betting Chicago " so 🤷we did it lol 😆
Points Awarded:
 MisterSack gave tmw360 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

30. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 24

The Blackhawks win as underdogs helping us win 5 of our last 7 underdog plays!

RECORD:

Bets won = 7
Bets lost = 7
Profit = +2.14 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from bwin at 9:50 am Eastern Time):

Winnipeg at Vancouver (+130)

This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI).
Vancouver has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games, so we’ll be taking them to come out hot. Plus, we have the revenge factor in our favor!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

31. @MisterSack

Totally my fault, the Cold Teams Matchup has 2 potential systems. I copied/paste the wrong Cold Teams system but I had the correct intended bet - we were going for Chicago.

Yesterday's system was supposed to read:

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:
Bet a home team coming off 3+ straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Pull the trigger only if the home team's money line is better than +105 (i.e. 2.05 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 44.95-unit gain over 141 wagers!

32. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
@MisterSack

Totally my fault, the Cold Teams Matchup has 2 potential systems. I copied/paste the wrong Cold Teams system but I had the correct intended bet - we were going for Chicago.

Yesterday's system was supposed to read:

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:
Bet a home team coming off 3+ straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Pull the trigger only if the home team's money line is better than +105 (i.e. 2.05 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 44.95-unit gain over 141 wagers!
Well luckily I was on Chicago anyway so I guess I came out lucky either way I thank you for all your hard work and your post and thank you mr. Sack for the points

33. So let's go Vancouver and let's cash some tickets guys
Nomination(s):

34. Originally Posted by Prof.MJ
@MisterSack

Totally my fault, the Cold Teams Matchup has 2 potential systems. I copied/paste the wrong Cold Teams system but I had the correct intended bet - we were going for Chicago.

Yesterday's system was supposed to read:

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:
Bet a home team coming off 3+ straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Pull the trigger only if the home team's money line is better than +105 (i.e. 2.05 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 44.95-unit gain over 141 wagers!
All good! Still bet Chicago. Thanks again for the work

35. NHL PICK FOR MARCH 25

The Canucks couldn’t help us out when we needed them to – but tonight we’ll be travelling to VEGAS BABY!

RECORD:
Bets won = 7
Bets lost = 8
Profit = +1.14 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Intertops at 9:50 am Eastern Time):