Can you use the poisson Distribution for team totals ????

[JR007]

Not sure on this ??, can someone plaese advise ???? for baseball

[Peregrine Stoop]

you could, but you'd be very wrong

[Justin7]

Bad idea in most sports. It might be ok for NHL, but not great.

[Cheme82]

For baseball the number of trials is not big enough, the odds of an occurrence are too high, and the positive trials don't always go up in increments of 1 (home run with someone on base).

As Justin pointed out, the closest would be NHL since the trials are larger usually >20 shots on goal per team. The odds of an occurrence are small (less than 10% of shots on goal end up as goals). And the positive trials always go up by 1 (you can't score 2 goals at the same time).

[JR007]

thanks guys, justin, you told me once that you need a database for this, yeah, i see your point

[oneunder]

Is there a place to get the Pinnacle Team Totals odds for the past 2 or 3 seasons?
I'm interested in MLB and the NHL.

I don't need any stats, just the odds that Pinn had.

Thanks for any help.

[JR007]

Is there a place to get the Pinnacle Team Totals odds for the past 2 or 3 seasons?
I'm interested in MLB and the NHL.

I don't need any stats, just the odds that Pinn had.

Thanks for any help.

tough to get them yesterday, they pull the numbers off the board at gametime

[laprikon]

Not sure on this ??, can someone plaese advise ???? for baseball

Negative binomial