Solve for lambda (Poisson)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Juret
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-18-10
    • 113

    #1
    Solve for lambda (Poisson)
    Does anyone know how to solve for lambda in the Poisson equation below?

    P(X=k)=

    As of now, I'm using Excel's solver function to find the mean (lambda) given the market's odds for a Poisson distributed total.

    Thanks
  • rsigley
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-23-08
    • 304

    #2
    taylor expansion on e^-lambda
    Comment
    • Ganchrow
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-28-05
      • 5011

      #3
      Originally posted by Juret
      Does anyone know how to solve for lambda in the Poisson equation below?

      P(X=k)=
      There's no closed-form solution.

      Analytically, what you're looking for is the Lambert W-function.
      Comment
      • Ganchrow
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-28-05
        • 5011

        #4
        Originally posted by Ganchrow
        There's no closed-form solution.

        Analytically, what you're looking for is the Lambert W-function.
        So if you do the algebra:
        P*k! = λk * e
        (P*k!)1/k = λ*e-λ/k
        -(1/k)*(P*k!)1/k = -λ/k*e-λ/k


        Which would then allow you to use the Lambert W function directly. Specifically:
        λ = -k * W[-(1/k)*(P*k!)1/k]


        So provided you can find a suitable implementation of the Lambert W, then given any pair of input parameters, k and P,you can come up with arbitrarily precise solutions for λ.
        Comment
        • Juret
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-18-10
          • 113

          #5
          Thanks guys, I'll take a look at this!
          Comment
          • aosipov
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-02-13
            • 1

            #6
            Can you give me specific example on how to solve this? W[-(1/k)*(P*k!)1/k]

            Comment
            SBR Contests
            Collapse
            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
            Collapse
            Working...