NBA Teaser Math

[Waterstpub87]

Measuring teaser results, I would go 21 and 15, or 59% of picks in 2 team teasers at +105, ties win. Is it in my interest to bet teasers at this result? or should I consider 3 teamers?

[FourLengthsClear]

You should break down your results to date. How many of the 72 plays within the 2-teamers would you have won if you had just played them ATS?

As a value proposition teasers in the NBA are generally awful.

[TomG]

how many points you getting?

your results are meaningless it's just a math problem so provide all the details.

[Waterstpub87]

4 points, ties win, only doing totals. Straight up results would be 18 and 28. Its from the same system I have posted before. These are the results that arise from the total being from 3 to 4 points off.

[subs]

IMO the points u r buying r worth < 4.4% each, which would be around ur breakeven.... or 20% in total.

[AlwaysDrawing]

teasing NBA 4pt totals is super +EV. Bet 7% of your bankroll on each, and become rich. But delete this post and stop giving out rice bowls to the whole forum.

[subs]

^^^ lol....be nice

[Waterstpub87]

teasing NBA 4pt totals is super +EV. Bet 7% of your bankroll on each, and become rich. But delete this post and stop giving out rice bowls to the whole forum.

Rice Bowl as in " a protected project"?

[AlwaysDrawing]

Rice Bowl as in " a protected project"?

When you give out those systems that sharps know about, then you make it harder for us to make money, and yourself.

Ask yourself, how often do you see the kind of edge you're seeing? Hardly ever. Just keep it a secret or the books will adjust.

I bet Pinnacle is reading this forum, and changing their teaser rules as we speak.

[Waterstpub87]

When you give out those systems that sharps know about, then you make it harder for us to make money, and yourself. Ask yourself, how often do you see the kind of edge you're seeing? Hardly ever. Just keep it a secret or the books will adjust. I bet Pinnacle is reading this forum, and changing their teaser rules as we speak.

Point taken. Thanks.

[subs]

I bet Pinnacle is reading this forum, and changing their teaser rules as we speak.

LOLfest

[gregm]

teasing NBA 4pt totals is super +EV. Bet 7% of your bankroll on each, and become rich. But delete this post and stop giving out rice bowls to the whole forum.

?????? Are you looking at any recent data on nba totals ? Anybody who thinks their rice bowl is being messed with by some poster in the think tank should be encouraging everyone to tease totals in the NBA in here. Maybe this is all in jest but it doesnt seem like it.

[LT Profits]

?????? Are you looking at any recent data on nba totals ? Anybody who thinks their rice bowl is being messed with by some poster in the think tank should be encouraging everyone to tease totals in the NBA in here. Maybe this is all in jest but it doesnt seem like it.

AD was being 100% sarcastic. NBA 4-Point Teaser Math = Don't Do It 95% of the time (99% on totals)

[TomG]

even under optimal teasing strategy (picking up all 4.5 points, only teasing spreads on the best games) this is going to be solidly -ev. congrats on your past success though.

[Waterstpub87]

I know it is foolish to even consider it. But over the past three days, I've only been able to bet on 2 games straight. So it might be impatience on my part, but I'm always looking for additional ROI opportunities.

[AlwaysDrawing]

AD was being 100% sarcastic. NBA 4-Point Teaser Math = Don't Do It 95% of the time (99% on totals)

even under optimal teasing strategy (picking up all 4.5 points, only teasing spreads on the best games) this is going to be solidly -ev. congrats on your past success though.

Two very sharp posters said it was -EV, and I was supremely sarcastic in saying it was +EV.

In CBB there might be a couple times where you can tease low single digit spreads and have a positive expectation, but in the NBA, it happens approximately never. Totals are even worse than spreads.

[Azzurri]

teasing NBA 4pt totals is super +EV. Bet 7% of your bankroll on each, and become rich. But delete this post and stop giving out rice bowls to the whole forum.

i bet there hoping like crazy they get more and more nba teasers.