Relation between ROI % and Edge % within Kelly

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  • bobbydrake
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-16-09
    • 38

    #1
    Relation between ROI % and Edge % within Kelly
    Does anyone have any insight with the relationship between ROI% (profit/total wagers) and Edge% (overall winning% * 1.9091 - 1)? It seems from real life observations that: 1. If ROI% > Edge%, gambler is utilizing Kelly to the utmost degree. 2. If ROI% < Edge%, gambler is utilizing Kelly conservatively. 3. If ROI% is similar to Edge%, gambler is utilizing Kelly nominally. Any thoughts would be appreciated. (Disclaimer: I use 1/8 Kelly)
  • FourLengthsClear
    SBR MVP
    • 12-29-10
    • 3808

    #2
    This may help you. Expected Growth for a single bet is the projected ROI.

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    • bobbydrake
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-16-09
      • 38

      #3
      Thanks for the reminder. I've read it a couple of times in the past, before I got to apply it in the field. Now I'm in the trenches doing real life experimentation I lost track of the basics.

      4LC, got one more question for you. Do you use Kelly to a tee? For example, say Kelly told you to bet $25.67 on a game. Do you bet exactly $25.67? Or do you round off to win the nearest whole dollar? (lets say you would round down to $25.30 to win $23 or round up to $26.40 to win $24)
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      • FourLengthsClear
        SBR MVP
        • 12-29-10
        • 3808

        #4
        I use 3/4 Kelly and do round my risk amounts.
        My rationale for this is that entering stakes precisely could give the impression of conducting arbitrage.
        Comment
        • bobbydrake
          SBR Rookie
          • 02-16-09
          • 38

          #5
          Cool. Thanks.
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