One play a day or as many as are +EV?

[eyeball]

I guess this might have been asked before, but is it more profitable to;


1. go with your one best pick per day, your "best bet" or

2. Go with all your +EV bets whether it be one or 10

There has been some discussion about excessive juice with too many plays per day.. and also some discussion about how you can bet more per play with fewer plays?

Can anyone help?

[roasthawg]

Get as many good ones in as you can.

[HedgeHog]

By definition, you should bet all +Ev plays regardless of how many--the amount will vary depending on the edge of each. Likewise, you should pass on a day that has no +Ev opportunities. The hard part, of course, is determining if +Ev is really present at all.

[eyeball]

By definition, you should bet all +Ev plays regardless of how many--the amount will vary depending on the edge of each. Likewise, you should pass on a day that has no +Ev opportunities. The hard part, of course, is determining if +Ev is really present at all.

Thanks for your reply...makes good sense...

"The touts always say "I only give out the best play every day" , obviously a scam.
It would seem that the more +EV bets that are REALLY there, than if you are at lets say 54%, well 54% of 5 plays is a lot better than 54% of one play.

[Peregrine Stoop]

do the EG calculations

[eyeball]

do the EG calculations

EG?

[dogman]

Almost all winning cappers will bet any game where they see an edge. Losing players would be better off to bet less games so to cut losses. You can't pick and choose, if you see an edge bet it no matter the amount of games.

[chunk]

All +EV games should be played, however, not all +EV games are created equal.

[That Foreign Guy]

And some +EV games aren't worth the electricity involved in placing a bet.

I had one game recently where the fully Kelly optimal stake would have been £1. I think EG would have been <£0.01 I skipped that one.

[TomG]

assuming the wagers are independent, then a day is a completely arbitrary distinction.

[Rich Boy]

EG?

Expected Growth

Ganchrow has a good thread about EG and EV, look it up, its a good read

[kisado]

Hit 'em all.

[warriorfan707]

as many +EV as possible, the definition of +EV speaks for itself

[wiffle]

TbAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[pboozer57]

i need sbr points

[GunShard]

I usually pick my spots when betting.

[wiffle]

i pick my spots 30 times a day

[TomG]

what does the earth making a revolution around the sun have to do with making a sports wager?

[wantitall4moi]

what does the earth making a revolution around the sun have to do with making a sports wager?

on its axis is a day around the sun is a year.

[Not Matt Rain]

assuming the wagers are independent, then a day is a completely arbitrary distinction.

This.