How do you determine the probability of a team getting swept?

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  • AgainstAllOdds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-24-08
    • 6053

    #1
    How do you determine the probability of a team getting swept?
    Originally posted by SBR_John
    AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
  • durito
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-03-06
    • 13173

    #2
    Prob of Losing Game 1 * Prob Los Gam2 * P(LG3) * P(LG4)
    Last edited by durito; 05-14-08, 01:19 PM.
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    • Thremp
      SBR MVP
      • 07-23-07
      • 2067

      #3
      If you wanna nerd out harder, there's likely some fat tailed distributions due to a team significantly missing its median expectation due to injury or just incorrect assessments of true talent level etc. But I don't think I've ever seen anything where this was more than a fun theoretical exercise to mentally masturbate over.
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      • raiders72002
        SBR MVP
        • 03-06-07
        • 3368

        #4
        You have to set a line on each game then do as durito said.
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