Has anyone found any studies on the effect of windspeed and direction of the wind on scoring in MLB? It is common knowledge about Wrigley's changing wind, but it obviously has a lesser effect at other parks. How do you quantify it?
MLB Windspeed to runs conversion?
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Justin7SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-31-06
- 8577
#1MLB Windspeed to runs conversion?Tags: None -
lovesbaseball1SBR Rookie
- 12-07-10
- 18
#2I've looked pretty hard and not come up with anything decent.
Not only is there nothing decent out there, I think the wind data in the retrosheet box scores is probably poor quality.
Wind must effect every stadium differently, a wind blowing in 20 mph can't possibly have the same effect in tall, retractable roof stadium as it does in fairly open center field parks. Plus, some stadiums probably funnel the wind in weird ways. A wind in from LF could probably benefit a ball hit to RC or RF in some parks.
Anyway, I don't have the answers, but would be willing to pay for good info if anyone has some.Comment -
ThrempSBR MVP
- 07-23-07
- 2067
#4This idea is virtually useless without HitFxComment -
the_mathmanSBR Sharp
- 01-04-11
- 312
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70kgmanSBR MVP
- 01-31-10
- 4354
#7Speaking of wind speed, does anyone know if weather.com is going to bring back their MLB forecast page? It is not there anymore. Don't know if they abandoned that sub page permanently or are just late putting it back up for this season.Comment -
BluehorseshoeSBR Posting Legend
- 07-13-06
- 14998
#8Comment -
CHUBNUTSBR Sharp
- 06-30-09
- 321
#9It always makes me laugh how Books can be so sharp but never think of the effect weather might have on a game and implenment it into their oddsor how stupid a punter is thinking they dont.
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specialronnie29SBR High Roller
- 09-19-10
- 140
#10all i know is take the under on cubs games with wind blowing out
every loser 'handicapper' thinks hes the only genius who thinks of the wind and they all pound overComment -
evo34SBR MVP
- 11-09-08
- 1032
#11Actually, quite the opposite. The smart money has been on the over when wind blowing out in Wrigley. An astounding 71-39 over record since 2006 (with no losing seasons) when wind out to RF, CF or LF, according to Covers.Comment -
AlwaysFadeMeRestricted User
- 06-02-11
- 31
#12If Lackey pitches take the OVERComment -
roanildinhoSBR MVP
- 06-02-10
- 1320
#13justin7, this idea is crazy bro.
No player hits a run because of windspeed and even so how can we know when the wind will be toward our team or against it.Comment -
sharpcircleSBR Sharp
- 02-05-11
- 308
#14roanidinho,
Read more, post lessComment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#16Every stadium is different. I would think the best way to approach it would be to rate teams and pitchers by their distribution of fly balls vs ground balls. A fly ball pitcher in a mild wind blowing out to center is probably more likely to be affected than a ground ball pitcher in heavy wind. Likewise for teams that hit a lot of balls in the air.Comment -
Dark HorseSBR Posting Legend
- 12-14-05
- 13764
#17As most will remember, the first season in new Yankee stadium had a well reported bias. Windspeed and direction were researched in newspapers lol. I believe they made some small adjustments that redirected the wind flow at the end of that season. (this opens the door as well to unreported countermeasures from season to season).
At this point, sharing numerical information (that people can just enter into Excel) is the same as giving everybody you play against a little extra advantage. Same as paying for sharing info.Comment -
evo34SBR MVP
- 11-09-08
- 1032
#18I believe Justin was simply asking, "how do you quantify it?" -- not, "please turn over your entire database to me so I can rape you."
As most will remember, the first season in new Yankee stadium had a well reported bias. Windspeed and direction were researched in newspapers lol. I believe they made some small adjustments that redirected the wind flow at the end of that season. (this opens the door as well to unreported countermeasures from season to season). At this point, sharing numerical information (that people can just enter into Excel) is the same as giving everybody you play against a little extra advantage. Same as paying for sharing info.Comment -
SmogsSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4173
#19
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SmogsSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4173
#20You'd have to look at those whose strikeouts are low but love the fly balls. If lincecum went to wrigley in an out blowing game, i'd think twice before betting the over, but if tim wakefield went then that 71-39 record has to be backedComment -
RichardGeorgeSBR Wise Guy
- 04-18-10
- 640
#21I think a bigger effect on the totals is the humidity during gametime.
If you ever go to Fenway Park on a hot and humid night, the ball usually flies out of there. But on cold nights when the air is dry, the ball doesn't go nearly as far. I mention Fenway because I live in the area and have been to countless amount of games and seen this first hand. It would help if other "locals" could share some of there examples...Comment -
evo34SBR MVP
- 11-09-08
- 1032
#22Most people who have tried to anaylze humidity's effect (controlled for wind and temp.) on FB distance have concluded that it's close to neutral. Mainly bc the moist air is less dense (good for more distance), but the ball will be wetter and heavier (bad for distance). The two effects seem to offset.Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#23think you have to think at what point mph has an effect.....also how about crosswinds ????gusty
something over at google..physics 199BB...physics of baseballLast edited by JR007; 06-21-11, 12:12 PM.Comment
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