Prop: Final Four "Overtime" lines

[HauntingTheHoly]

Found a prop that reminded me of one Justin likes before the super bowl: "Will either final four game go into overtime?" Instinctively, I want "No" but the line is -450. I know that in the NFL a fair price for one overtime game is -1100. Here we have *two* games (chances for an overtime), and both games with a line under 3 points. Opinions on how to calculate?

[ForgetWallStreet]

Found a prop that reminded me of one Justin likes before the super bowl: "Will either final four game go into overtime?" Instinctively, I want "No" but the line is -450. I know that in the NFL a fair price for one overtime game is -1100. Here we have *two* games (chances for an overtime), and both games with a line under 3 points. Opinions on how to calculate?

Start by using a DB to investigate how often games with similar spreads have gone to OT in the past.