NBA assists/rebounds

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  • vicwootn
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-13-11
    • 20

    #1
    NBA assists/rebounds
    I have heard for pricing NBA assists props that,

    player's APG*opp's APG allowed/league APG allowed

    should be used. I have to think that team total/pace largely effect the number of assists. Does anyone else feel this way? What about using this instead?

    player's APG*opp's APG allowed/league APG allowed*team total/average points per team

    Also, could I apply the same thing for rebounds?
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #2
    I like your second approach better for assists. For rebounds, I'd use game pace / average pace instead of team totals.
    Comment
    • vicwootn
      SBR Rookie
      • 01-13-11
      • 20

      #3
      cool thanks a lot!

      so for rebounds the full equation is player's RPG*opp's RPG allowed/league RPG allowed*game pace/average pace ?
      Comment
      • Justin7
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-31-06
        • 8577

        #4
        Yes, that is a pretty good estimate.
        Comment
        • Data
          SBR MVP
          • 11-27-07
          • 2236

          #5
          Originally posted by vicwootn
          I have heard for pricing NBA assists props that,

          player's APG*opp's APG allowed/league APG allowed

          should be used. I have to think that team total/pace largely effect the number of assists. Does anyone else feel this way? What about using this instead?

          player's APG*opp's APG allowed/league APG allowed*team total/average points per team
          I think that

          player's APG*team total/average points per team

          makes more sense. "opp's APG allowed" does not indicate the opposing team's ability to prevent assists, which would be a senseless metric, but rather shows what type of teams they played.
          Comment
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