Most Important Stats When Capping Basketball Sides?

[willyback]

It's the only sport that I completely suck at. Can anybody offer me some quality handicapping advice?

[Data]

Efficiency, measured in points per possession.

[operaman]

Efficiency, measured in points per possession.

Why is this the case in your opinion?

[Data]

It makes the most sense from theoretical perspective, while a model that is based on this parameter alone provides the best correlation with historical results.

[LT Profits]

Yes, but where do you find PPP stats for NBA? It is easy to find Pomeroys for CBB, but I have not seen anything equal to that for the pros.

[Dark Horse]

Play halftime bets. March Madness is good practice.

Look for two competitive teams with seriously tilted halftime percentages. Look at shooting percentage, free throws, rebounds, turnovers. As long as the team shooting 60% isn't getting easy layups, the team shooting 35% more often than not covers the 2H. Plus halftime lines are up only ten or fifteen minutes, so they're softer.

[dogman]

LT, check out www.82games.com for NBA possessions

[dogman]

Click on any NBA team and you will find points per possession

[LT Profits]

Great dogman. Mucho grab-ass!

[Data]

Yes, but where do you find PPP stats for NBA?

I find it in my own database. The advantage of this method is that I can apply any adjustemnts I want. Regardless, the stat is available at: http://www.knickerblogger.net/stats/2008/ there it is listed in points per 100 possessions.

[LT Profits]

Thanks Data, I like that site too.

[Data]

Thanks Data, I like that site too.

LT got one more to go for 5,000. Go get'em, tiger!

I am glad I could help.

[durito]

You can find that here too (also as pts per 100 possesions).

http://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2008.html

[diogee]

Thanks for the great sites Dogman, Data, and Durito. Much appreciated.